UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Rogerio Nogueira vs Theobald

2,064

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Rogerio Nogueira

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
77% chance Rogerio Nogueira
WILL WIN

1,856

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Antonio Rogerio Nogueira
Much heavier hands 8.2 vs 5.9 Around 40% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly heavier 205 lbs vs 200 lbs Around 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Better submission defense 9.2 vs 8.6 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 9.0 vs 8.7 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Slightly stronger jaw 8.9 vs 8.7 Almost the same
Advantages for Jim Theobald
Much better submission offense 9.1 vs 7.3 Around 25% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 8.3 vs 8.1 Almost the same
Rogerio Nogueira on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Theobald’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Antonio
Rogerio Nogueira
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Rogerio Nogueira has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Rogerio Nogueira is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Rogerio Nogueira has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Theobald on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Rogerio Nogueira’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jim
Theobald
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Theobald is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Theobald has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Theobald is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Rogerio Nogueira 8.2
fighter Theobald 5.9
Great knockouts by Rogerio Nogueira
Round 1 Nov 21, 2009 vs Cane
Round 2 Jan 24, 2009 vs Matyushenko
Round 2 Jul 01, 2006 vs Overeem

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Rogerio Nogueira 7.3
fighter Theobald 9.1
Great submissions by Theobald
Round 2 Oct 26, 2002 vs Spent
Round 1 Nov 04, 2000 vs Henze
Round 1 Dec 04, 1999 vs Cutts

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Rogerio Nogueira 8.2
fighter Theobald 8.3
Fast finishes by Theobald
157 seconds Aug 31, 2001 vs Cook
249 seconds Nov 04, 2000 vs Henze
493 seconds Dec 04, 1999 vs Cutts
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R1 SUBX
XR3 SUB
1,5521,890
1,6391,803
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Rogerio Nogueira
legend Theobald
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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