UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Rogerio Nogueira vs Latifi

2,064

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Rogerio Nogueira

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
73% chance Rogerio Nogueira
WILL WIN

1,894

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Antonio Rogerio Nogueira
Much taller 188 cm vs 173 cm Around 10% taller
Significantly harder to hit 9.1 vs 8.5 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Better striker 8.8 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Better takedown defense 8.9 vs 8.3 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Better submission defense 9.2 vs 8.6 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Stronger jaw 8.9 vs 8.4 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Heavier hands 8.2 vs 7.7 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Puts up a fight 9.0 vs 8.8 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Advantages for Ilir Latifi
Much stronger takedown offense 8.5 vs 7.5 Around 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Younger 34 years vs 41 years More than 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better submission offense 7.7 vs 7.3 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 8.4 vs 8.1 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Rogerio Nogueira on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Latifi’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Antonio
Rogerio Nogueira
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Rogerio Nogueira Latifi
Significant Strikes83
Rogerio Nogueira's good striking offense may be a factor against Latifi's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Rogerio Nogueira's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Latifi's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Rogerio Nogueira has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Rogerio Nogueira is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Rogerio Nogueira has a very good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Latifi on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Rogerio Nogueira’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ilir
Latifi
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Latifi Rogerio Nogueira
Significant Strikes49
Latifi's average striking offense won't be a factor against Rogerio Nogueira's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Latifi's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Rogerio Nogueira's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Latifi is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Latifi is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Latifi is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Rogerio Nogueira 8.8
fighter Latifi 8.4
Great striking by Rogerio Nogueira
40 strikes Feb 02, 2013 vs Evans
24 strikes Jan 24, 2009 vs Matyushenko
27 strikes Jul 01, 2006 vs Overeem

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Rogerio Nogueira 8.2
fighter Latifi 7.7
Great knockouts by Rogerio Nogueira
Round 1 Nov 21, 2009 vs Cane
Round 2 Jan 24, 2009 vs Matyushenko
Round 2 Jul 01, 2006 vs Overeem

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Rogerio Nogueira 7.3
fighter Latifi 7.7
Great submissions by Latifi
Round 1 Mar 23, 2012 vs Bogdanov
Round 1 May 22, 2009 vs Krbanjevic
Round 1 Feb 27, 2009 vs Pinho

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Rogerio Nogueira 8.2
fighter Latifi 8.5
Fast finishes by Latifi
269 seconds Apr 10, 2010 vs Minonzio
103 seconds May 22, 2009 vs Krbanjevic
415 seconds Oct 25, 2008 vs Mihocka
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Rogerio Nogueira
legend Latifi
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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