UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Gassaway vs Sanchez

1,700

CageRank

WINNER
Sanchez

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
88% chance Sanchez
WILL WIN

2,047

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Diego Sanchez
Much better submission defense 9.5 vs 7.8 More than 20% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Much better takedown defense 9.2 vs 7.8 Around 20% better at avoiding being taken down
Puts up a fight 9.9 vs 8.3 Around 20% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better striker 8.7 vs 8.0 Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly heavier hands 7.3 vs 6.7 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly younger 35 years vs 44 years More than 20% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Significantly better submission offense 7.3 vs 6.9 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 7.7 vs 7.4 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Stronger takedown offense 8.5 vs 8.2 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Advantages for Brian Gassaway
Significantly longer reach 194 cm vs 183 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Taller 183 cm vs 178 cm Around 5% taller
Heavier 170 lbs vs 155 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Sanchez on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Gassaway’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Diego
Sanchez
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Sanchez Gassaway
Significant Strikes80
Sanchez's good striking offense may be a factor against Gassaway's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Sanchez's average takedown offense may be a factor against Gassaway's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Sanchez is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Sanchez has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Sanchez has a very good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Gassaway on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Sanchez’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Brian
Gassaway
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Gassaway Sanchez
Significant Strikes54
Gassaway's average striking offense is matched by Sanchez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Gassaway's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Sanchez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Gassaway is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Gassaway is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Gassaway has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Sanchez 8.7
fighter Gassaway 8.0
Great striking by Sanchez
65 strikes Mar 03, 2013 vs Gomi
51 strikes Mar 03, 2011 vs Kampmann
66 strikes Aug 17, 2006 vs Parisyan

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Sanchez 8.5
fighter Gassaway 8.2
Great takedowns by Sanchez
2 takedowns Mar 03, 2013 vs Gomi
1 takedown Mar 03, 2011 vs Kampmann
3 takedowns Aug 17, 2006 vs Parisyan

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Sanchez 7.3
fighter Gassaway 6.7
Great knockouts by Sanchez
Round 3 Jun 21, 2008 vs Fioravanti
Round 1 Dec 13, 2006 vs Riggs
Round 1 Apr 09, 2005 vs Florian

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Sanchez 7.3
fighter Gassaway 6.9
Great submissions by Sanchez
Round 1 Mar 01, 2008 vs Bielkheden
Round 2 Aug 20, 2005 vs Gassaway
Round 1 May 15, 2004 vs Elbe

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Sanchez 7.7
fighter Gassaway 7.4
Fast finishes by Sanchez
847 seconds Jun 21, 2008 vs Fioravanti
283 seconds Mar 01, 2008 vs Bielkheden
105 seconds Dec 13, 2006 vs Riggs
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
August 20, 2005UFC 54
team
VS
team
XR2 SUB
XR1 SUB
1,7691,893
1,7361,926
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Sanchez
legend Gassaway
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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