UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Herman vs Struve

1,859

CageRank

WINNER
Struve

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
68% chance Struve
WILL WIN

1,990

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Stefan Struve
Much taller 213 cm vs 193 cm More than 10% taller
Much heavier 264 lbs vs 222 lbs Around 20% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Much longer reach 215 cm vs 196 cm Around 10% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Significantly better submission offense 8.0 vs 6.9 More than 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Stronger jaw 8.8 vs 8.0 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Fast finishes 8.8 vs 8.2 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Puts up a fight 9.0 vs 8.5 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Younger 29 years vs 32 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Dave Herman
Much stronger takedown offense 8.4 vs 7.3 Around 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly better striker 8.8 vs 8.4 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Better submission defense 9.0 vs 8.8 Almost the same
Struve on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Herman’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Stefan
Struve
In 8:39, how much damage will he do? Struve Herman
Significant Strikes44
Struve's average striking offense may be a factor against Herman's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 78 Significant Strikes in 8:39
Average
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Struve's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Herman's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:39
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Struve has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Struve is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Struve is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Herman on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Struve’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Dave
Herman
In 8:39, how much damage will he do? Herman Struve
Significant Strikes52
Herman's good striking offense may be a factor against Struve's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 78 Significant Strikes in 8:39
Good
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Herman's average takedown offense is matched by Struve's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:39
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Herman is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Herman is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Herman is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Struve 8.4
fighter Herman 8.8
Great striking by Herman
55 strikes Jun 11, 2011 vs Olav Einemo

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Struve 7.3
fighter Herman 8.4
Great takedowns by Herman
1 takedown Jun 11, 2011 vs Olav Einemo

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Struve 8.1
fighter Herman 8.0
Great knockouts by Struve
Round 2 Sep 29, 2012 vs Miocic
Round 2 Feb 15, 2012 vs Herman
Round 1 Dec 11, 2010 vs McCorkle

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Struve 8.0
fighter Herman 6.9
Great submissions by Struve
Round 1 May 26, 2012 vs Johnson
Round 2 Oct 01, 2011 vs Barry
Round 1 Oct 24, 2009 vs Gormley

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Struve 8.8
fighter Herman 8.2
Fast finishes by Struve
530 seconds Sep 29, 2012 vs Miocic
65 seconds May 26, 2012 vs Johnson
532 seconds Feb 15, 2012 vs Herman
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
February 15, 2012UFC on Fuel TV 1
team
VS
team
XR2 KO
R2 KOX
1,9801,917
1,9211,976
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Struve
legend Herman
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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