UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Kato vs Nakanishi

1,340

CageRank

WINNER
Nakanishi

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
95% chance Nakanishi
WILL WIN

1,838

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Yoshiyuki Nakanishi
Fast finishes 8.0 vs 6.5 Around 25% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much heavier hands 8.0 vs 6.5 More than 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly stronger jaw 8.3 vs 7.2 Around 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 8.6 vs 7.4 More than 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better submission offense 6.8 vs 6.1 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Younger 33 years vs 37 years More than 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Minoru Kato
Much heavier 203 lbs vs 184 lbs More than 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Better submission defense 8.4 vs 8.1 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Nakanishi on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Kato’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Yoshiyuki
Nakanishi
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Nakanishi has a chance to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Nakanishi is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Nakanishi has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Kato on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Nakanishi’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Minoru
Kato
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Kato is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Kato is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Kato is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Nakanishi 8.0
fighter Kato 6.6
Great knockouts by Nakanishi
Round 1 Jun 24, 2011 vs Ackah
Round 1 Oct 24, 2010 vs Shibata
Round 1 Jan 14, 2008 vs Kato

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Nakanishi 6.8
fighter Kato 6.1
Great submissions by Nakanishi
Round 1 Feb 28, 2010 vs Hata
Round 1 Aug 15, 2009 vs Assenine

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Nakanishi 8.1
fighter Kato 6.5
Fast finishes by Nakanishi
67 seconds Jun 24, 2011 vs Ackah
270 seconds Feb 28, 2010 vs Hata
291 seconds Aug 15, 2009 vs Assenine
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
July 12, 2009Grachan - Grachan 2
team
VS
team
XR1 KO
XR2 KO
1,4031,573
1,3761,601
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Nakanishi
legend Kato
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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