UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Masvidal vs Berger

2,125

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Masvidal

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
98% chance Masvidal
WILL WIN

1,476

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Jorge Masvidal
Much stronger jaw 9.5 vs 7.4 Around 30% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better striker 8.8 vs 8.0 Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Puts up a fight 9.8 vs 7.9 Around 25% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Much heavier hands 7.5 vs 6.1 Around 25% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly younger 33 years vs 44 years 25% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Significantly better takedown defense 8.5 vs 7.8 Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly fast finishes 7.6 vs 7.0 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly harder to hit 8.8 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Stronger takedown offense 8.7 vs 8.3 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Taller 180 cm vs 178 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Steve Berger
Better submission offense 7.1 vs 6.9 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Masvidal on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Berger’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jorge
Masvidal
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Masvidal Berger
Significant Strikes82
Masvidal's good striking offense may be a factor against Berger's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns5
Masvidal's good takedown offense may be a factor against Berger's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Masvidal has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Masvidal is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Masvidal has a very good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Berger on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Masvidal’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Steve
Berger
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Berger Masvidal
Significant Strikes46
Berger's average striking offense is matched by Masvidal's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Berger's average takedown offense is matched by Masvidal's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Berger is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Berger is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Berger is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Masvidal 8.8
fighter Berger 8.0
Great striking by Masvidal
50 strikes Apr 20, 2013 vs Means
82 strikes Jul 14, 2012 vs Wilcox
56 strikes Mar 05, 2011 vs Evangelista

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Masvidal 8.7
fighter Berger 8.3
Great takedowns by Masvidal
6 takedowns Apr 20, 2013 vs Means
7 takedowns Jun 18, 2011 vs Noons
3 takedowns Mar 05, 2011 vs Evangelista

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Masvidal 7.5
fighter Berger 6.1
Great knockouts by Masvidal
Round 2 Nov 07, 2009 vs Kitaoka
Round 1 Apr 03, 2009 vs Agallar
Round 1 Sep 28, 2008 vs Schultz

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Masvidal 6.9
fighter Berger 7.1
Great submissions by Berger
Round 1 Sep 05, 2004 vs Paul
Round 3 Aug 26, 2001 vs Ikemoto
Round 1 Oct 06, 2000 vs Carter

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Masvidal 7.6
fighter Berger 7.0
Fast finishes by Masvidal
503 seconds Nov 07, 2009 vs Kitaoka
79 seconds Apr 03, 2009 vs Agallar
117 seconds Sep 28, 2008 vs Schultz
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
DECX
1,8811,583
1,8971,568
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Masvidal
legend Berger
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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