UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Masvidal vs Means

2,125

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Masvidal

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
73% chance Masvidal
WILL WIN

1,953

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Jorge Masvidal
Much stronger takedown offense 8.7 vs 7.9 More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Puts up a fight 9.8 vs 9.1 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better submission offense 6.9 vs 6.4 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better takedown defense 8.5 vs 8.2 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Better submission defense 9.2 vs 8.6 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Harder to hit 8.8 vs 8.6 Almost the same
Stronger jaw 9.5 vs 9.2 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Advantages for Tim Means
Fast finishes 8.6 vs 7.6 Around 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much heavier hands 8.8 vs 7.5 More than 15% better at knocking out good defenders
A lot taller 188 cm vs 180 cm Around 5% taller
Longer reach 191 cm vs 185 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Masvidal on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Means’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jorge
Masvidal
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Masvidal Means
Significant Strikes75
Masvidal's good striking offense may be a factor against Means's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Masvidal's good takedown offense may be a factor against Means's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Masvidal is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Masvidal is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Masvidal has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Means on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Masvidal’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Tim
Means
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Means Masvidal
Significant Strikes73
Means's good striking offense may be a factor against Masvidal's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Means's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Masvidal's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Means has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Means is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Means is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Masvidal 8.8
fighter Means 8.8
Great striking by Means
26 strikes Jun 08, 2012 vs Salas
83 strikes Feb 15, 2012 vs Magalhaes

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Masvidal 8.7
fighter Means 7.9
Great takedowns by Masvidal
6 takedowns Apr 20, 2013 vs Means
7 takedowns Jun 18, 2011 vs Noons
3 takedowns Mar 05, 2011 vs Evangelista

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Masvidal 7.5
fighter Means 8.8
Great knockouts by Means
Round 1 Sep 13, 2013 vs Spratt
Round 1 Jun 08, 2012 vs Salas
Round 2 Oct 07, 2010 vs Green

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Masvidal 6.9
fighter Means 6.4
Great submissions by Masvidal
Round 2 Jul 27, 2013 vs Chiesa
Round 3 Jun 19, 2009 vs Reynolds

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Masvidal 7.6
fighter Means 8.6
Fast finishes by Means
144 seconds Sep 13, 2013 vs Spratt
66 seconds Jun 08, 2012 vs Salas
600 seconds Oct 07, 2010 vs Green
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
April 20, 2013UFC on Fox 7
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
DECX
2,0482,023
2,0941,976
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Masvidal
legend Means
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
comments powered by Disqus