UFC fight predictions and analysis
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CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Masvidal vs Daley

2,125

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Masvidal

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
65% chance Masvidal
WILL WIN

2,017

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Jorge Masvidal
Much stronger takedown offense 8.7 vs 7.6 Around 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better submission offense 6.9 vs 6.3 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Taller 180 cm vs 175 cm Around 5% taller
Stronger jaw 9.5 vs 9.3 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Advantages for Paul Daley
Much heavier hands 9.5 vs 7.5 More than 25% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 8.7 vs 7.6 More than 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Longer reach 189 cm vs 185 cm Almost the same
Heavier 170 lbs vs 169 lbs Almost the same
Better submission defense 9.4 vs 9.2 Almost the same
Masvidal on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Daley’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jorge
Masvidal
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Masvidal Daley
Significant Strikes72
Masvidal's good striking offense may be a factor against Daley's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Masvidal's good takedown offense may be a factor against Daley's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Masvidal is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Masvidal is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Masvidal has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Daley on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Masvidal’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Paul
Daley
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Daley Masvidal
Significant Strikes70
Daley's good striking offense may be a factor against Masvidal's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Daley's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Masvidal's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Daley has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Daley is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Daley is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Masvidal 8.8
fighter Daley 8.7
Great striking by Masvidal
50 strikes Apr 20, 2013 vs Means
82 strikes Jul 14, 2012 vs Wilcox
56 strikes Mar 05, 2011 vs Evangelista

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Masvidal 8.7
fighter Daley 7.6
Great takedowns by Masvidal
6 takedowns Apr 20, 2013 vs Means
7 takedowns Jun 18, 2011 vs Noons
3 takedowns Mar 05, 2011 vs Evangelista

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Masvidal 7.5
fighter Daley 9.5
Great knockouts by Daley
Round 1 Jan 02, 2010 vs Hazelett
Round 1 Sep 19, 2009 vs Kampmann
Round 2 Dec 05, 2008 vs Alessio

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Masvidal 6.9
fighter Daley 6.3
Great submissions by Masvidal
Round 2 Jul 27, 2013 vs Chiesa
Round 3 Jun 19, 2009 vs Reynolds

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Masvidal 7.6
fighter Daley 8.8
Fast finishes by Daley
144 seconds Jan 02, 2010 vs Hazelett
151 seconds Sep 19, 2009 vs Kampmann
438 seconds Dec 05, 2008 vs Alessio
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
XR3 DEC
XR1 KO
1,9832,051
1,9432,091
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Masvidal
legend Daley
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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