UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Masvidal vs Damm

2,125

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Masvidal

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
80% chance Masvidal
WILL WIN

1,880

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Jorge Masvidal
Much stronger jaw 9.5 vs 8.1 More than 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Much stronger takedown offense 8.7 vs 7.9 More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Puts up a fight 9.8 vs 8.6 Around 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly harder to hit 8.8 vs 8.2 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly heavier hands 7.5 vs 7.0 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Taller 180 cm vs 170 cm More than 5% taller
Better striker 8.8 vs 8.5 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Better submission defense 9.2 vs 8.7 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Heavier 169 lbs vs 144 lbs More than 15% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Younger 33 years vs 38 years Around 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Longer reach 185 cm vs 180 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Advantages for Rodrigo Damm
Much better submission offense 7.7 vs 6.9 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better takedown defense 8.9 vs 8.5 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Fast finishes 7.7 vs 7.6 Almost the same
Masvidal on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Damm’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jorge
Masvidal
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Masvidal Damm
Significant Strikes90
Masvidal's good striking offense may be a factor against Damm's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Masvidal's good takedown offense is matched by Damm's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Masvidal is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Masvidal is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Masvidal has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Damm on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Masvidal’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Rodrigo
Damm
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Damm Masvidal
Significant Strikes61
Damm's average striking offense is matched by Masvidal's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Damm's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Masvidal's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Damm is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Damm is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Damm is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Masvidal 8.8
fighter Damm 8.5
Great striking by Masvidal
50 strikes Apr 20, 2013 vs Means
82 strikes Jul 14, 2012 vs Wilcox
56 strikes Mar 05, 2011 vs Evangelista

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Masvidal 8.7
fighter Damm 7.9
Great takedowns by Masvidal
6 takedowns Apr 20, 2013 vs Means
7 takedowns Jun 18, 2011 vs Noons
3 takedowns Mar 05, 2011 vs Evangelista

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Masvidal 7.5
fighter Damm 7.0
Great knockouts by Masvidal
Round 2 Nov 07, 2009 vs Kitaoka
Round 1 Apr 03, 2009 vs Agallar
Round 1 Sep 28, 2008 vs Schultz

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Masvidal 6.9
fighter Damm 7.7
Great submissions by Damm
Round 1 Jun 23, 2012 vs Medeiros
Round 2 Apr 14, 2007 vs Defranco
Round 2 Dec 16, 2006 vs Gill

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Masvidal 7.6
fighter Damm 7.7
Fast finishes by Damm
578 seconds Jun 08, 2008 vs Masvidal
363 seconds Aug 24, 2007 vs Bow
418 seconds Apr 14, 2007 vs Defranco
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
XR2 KO
R1 KOX
1,9901,809
1,9161,883
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Masvidal
legend Damm
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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