UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Masvidal vs Noons

2,125

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Masvidal

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
76% chance Masvidal
WILL WIN

1,928

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Jorge Masvidal
Much stronger takedown offense 8.7 vs 7.0 Around 25% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly harder to hit 8.8 vs 8.4 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Stronger jaw 9.5 vs 8.9 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better submission offense 6.9 vs 6.3 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Puts up a fight 9.8 vs 9.1 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Heavier 169 lbs vs 167 lbs Almost the same
Better takedown defense 8.5 vs 8.2 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Younger 32 years vs 34 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better submission defense 9.2 vs 8.9 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Advantages for K.J. Noons
Significantly heavier hands 8.4 vs 7.5 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly fast finishes 8.2 vs 7.6 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better striker 8.8 vs 8.8 Almost the same
Masvidal on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Noons’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jorge
Masvidal
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Masvidal Noons
Significant Strikes85
Masvidal's good striking offense may be a factor against Noons's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Masvidal's good takedown offense may be a factor against Noons's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Masvidal is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Masvidal is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Masvidal has a very good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Noons on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Masvidal’s defensive skills
Predictions For
K.J.
Noons
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Noons Masvidal
Significant Strikes74
Noons's good striking offense may be a factor against Masvidal's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Noons's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Masvidal's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Noons has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Noons is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Noons is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Masvidal 8.8
fighter Noons 8.8
Great striking by Noons
64 strikes Dec 17, 2011 vs Evangelista
9 strikes Jun 14, 2008 vs Edwards
19 strikes Nov 10, 2007 vs Diaz

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Masvidal 8.7
fighter Noons 7.0
Great takedowns by Masvidal
6 takedowns Apr 20, 2013 vs Means
7 takedowns Jun 18, 2011 vs Noons
3 takedowns Mar 05, 2011 vs Evangelista

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Masvidal 7.5
fighter Noons 8.4
Great knockouts by Noons
Round 1 Jun 14, 2008 vs Edwards
Round 1 Nov 10, 2007 vs Diaz
Round 3 Jul 27, 2007 vs Berto

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Masvidal 6.9
fighter Noons 6.3
Great submissions by Masvidal
Round 2 Jul 27, 2013 vs Chiesa
Round 3 Jun 19, 2009 vs Reynolds

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Masvidal 7.6
fighter Noons 8.2
Fast finishes by Noons
48 seconds Jun 14, 2008 vs Edwards
300 seconds Nov 10, 2007 vs Diaz
645 seconds Jul 27, 2007 vs Berto
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
DECX
2,0001,908
2,0371,871
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Masvidal
legend Noons
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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