UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Masvidal vs Pearson

2,125

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Masvidal

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
77% chance Masvidal
WILL WIN

1,919

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Jorge Masvidal
Much stronger jaw 9.5 vs 8.4 Around 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.8 vs 8.8 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.7 vs 8.1 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly harder to hit 8.8 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Longer reach 185 cm vs 175 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Taller 180 cm vs 173 cm Around 5% taller
Better submission defense 9.2 vs 8.7 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Heavier 169 lbs vs 155 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Better takedown defense 8.5 vs 8.3 Almost the same
Advantages for Ross Pearson
Better submission offense 7.3 vs 6.9 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Heavier hands 7.9 vs 7.5 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 7.9 vs 7.6 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better striker 8.9 vs 8.8 Almost the same
Masvidal on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Pearson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jorge
Masvidal
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Masvidal Pearson
Significant Strikes83
Masvidal's good striking offense may be a factor against Pearson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Masvidal's good takedown offense may be a factor against Pearson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Masvidal is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Masvidal is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Masvidal has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Pearson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Masvidal’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ross
Pearson
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Pearson Masvidal
Significant Strikes75
Pearson's good striking offense may be a factor against Masvidal's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Pearson's average takedown offense is matched by Masvidal's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Pearson is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Pearson is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Pearson is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Masvidal 8.8
fighter Pearson 8.9
Great striking by Pearson
50 strikes Dec 15, 2012 vs Sotiropoulos
52 strikes Dec 30, 2011 vs Assuncao
59 strikes Feb 27, 2011 vs Fisher

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Masvidal 8.7
fighter Pearson 8.1
Great takedowns by Masvidal
6 takedowns Apr 20, 2013 vs Means
7 takedowns Jun 18, 2011 vs Noons
3 takedowns Mar 05, 2011 vs Evangelista

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Masvidal 7.5
fighter Pearson 7.9
Great knockouts by Pearson
Round 2 Apr 06, 2013 vs Couture
Round 3 Dec 15, 2012 vs Sotiropoulos
Round 2 Nov 14, 2009 vs Riley

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Masvidal 6.9
fighter Pearson 7.3
Great submissions by Pearson
Round 1 Nov 01, 2008 vs Jones
Round 1 May 31, 2008 vs Celerier
Round 3 May 03, 2008 vs Marron

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Masvidal 7.6
fighter Pearson 7.9
Fast finishes by Pearson
525 seconds Apr 06, 2013 vs Couture
641 seconds Dec 15, 2012 vs Sotiropoulos
578 seconds Nov 14, 2009 vs Riley
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
July 30, 2016UFC 201
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Masvidal
legend Pearson
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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