UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Masvidal vs Rodriguez

2,125

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Masvidal

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
93% chance Masvidal
WILL WIN

1,672

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Jorge Masvidal
Puts up a fight 9.8 vs 8.0 More than 20% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Much stronger jaw 9.5 vs 8.3 More than 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Much better submission defense 9.2 vs 7.9 More than 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Better striker 8.8 vs 8.1 Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly heavier hands 7.5 vs 6.9 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.7 vs 8.1 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly younger 34 years vs 43 years More than 20% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better takedown defense 8.5 vs 8.1 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Taller 180 cm vs 173 cm Around 5% taller
Heavier 169 lbs vs 155 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Slightly harder to hit 8.8 vs 8.7 Almost the same
Advantages for Paul Rodriguez
Significantly better submission offense 7.6 vs 6.9 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Masvidal on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Rodriguez’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jorge
Masvidal
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Masvidal Rodriguez
Significant Strikes73
Masvidal's good striking offense may be a factor against Rodriguez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Masvidal's good takedown offense may be a factor against Rodriguez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Masvidal is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Masvidal is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Masvidal has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Rodriguez on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Masvidal’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Paul
Rodriguez
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Rodriguez Masvidal
Significant Strikes49
Rodriguez's average striking offense is matched by Masvidal's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Rodriguez's average takedown offense is matched by Masvidal's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Rodriguez is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Rodriguez is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Rodriguez is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Masvidal 8.8
fighter Rodriguez 8.1
Great striking by Masvidal
50 strikes Apr 20, 2013 vs Means
82 strikes Jul 14, 2012 vs Wilcox
56 strikes Mar 05, 2011 vs Evangelista

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Masvidal 8.7
fighter Rodriguez 8.1
Great takedowns by Masvidal
6 takedowns Apr 20, 2013 vs Means
7 takedowns Jun 18, 2011 vs Noons
3 takedowns Mar 05, 2011 vs Evangelista

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Masvidal 7.5
fighter Rodriguez 6.9
Great knockouts by Masvidal
Round 2 Nov 07, 2009 vs Kitaoka
Round 1 Apr 03, 2009 vs Agallar
Round 1 Sep 28, 2008 vs Schultz

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Masvidal 6.9
fighter Rodriguez 7.6
Great submissions by Rodriguez
Round 1 Jul 30, 2005 vs Masvidal
Round 1 Jun 14, 2003 vs Durant
Round 1 Feb 23, 2001 vs Cooper

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Masvidal 7.6
fighter Rodriguez 7.5
Fast finishes by Masvidal
503 seconds Nov 07, 2009 vs Kitaoka
79 seconds Apr 03, 2009 vs Agallar
117 seconds Sep 28, 2008 vs Schultz
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
July 30, 2005AFC 13
team
VS
team
XR1 SUB
DECX
1,7491,667
1,6871,728
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Masvidal
legend Rodriguez
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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