UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Masvidal vs Lee

2,125

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Masvidal

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
92% chance Masvidal
WILL WIN

1,702

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Jorge Masvidal
Much stronger jaw 9.5 vs 8.0 Around 20% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better striker 8.8 vs 8.1 Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much harder to hit 8.8 vs 8.2 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much younger 33 years vs 46 years Around 30% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Puts up a fight 9.8 vs 8.5 More than 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly better takedown defense 8.5 vs 7.7 Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly better submission offense 6.9 vs 6.0 More than 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Stronger takedown offense 8.7 vs 8.3 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Fast finishes 7.6 vs 7.1 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better submission defense 9.2 vs 8.8 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Heavier hands 7.5 vs 7.3 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Advantages for Matt Lee
Taller 183 cm vs 180 cm Almost the same
Masvidal on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Lee’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jorge
Masvidal
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Masvidal Lee
Significant Strikes89
Masvidal's good striking offense may be a factor against Lee's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns5
Masvidal's good takedown offense may be a factor against Lee's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Masvidal is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Masvidal is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Masvidal has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Lee on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Masvidal’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Matt
Lee
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Lee Masvidal
Significant Strikes49
Lee's average striking offense is matched by Masvidal's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Lee's average takedown offense is matched by Masvidal's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Lee is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Lee is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Lee is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Masvidal 8.8
fighter Lee 8.1
Great striking by Masvidal
50 strikes Apr 20, 2013 vs Means
82 strikes Jul 14, 2012 vs Wilcox
56 strikes Mar 05, 2011 vs Evangelista

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Masvidal 8.7
fighter Lee 8.3
Great takedowns by Masvidal
6 takedowns Apr 20, 2013 vs Means
7 takedowns Jun 18, 2011 vs Noons
3 takedowns Mar 05, 2011 vs Evangelista

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Masvidal 7.5
fighter Lee 7.3
Great knockouts by Masvidal
Round 2 Nov 07, 2009 vs Kitaoka
Round 1 Apr 03, 2009 vs Agallar
Round 1 Sep 28, 2008 vs Schultz

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Masvidal 6.9
fighter Lee 6.0
Great submissions by Masvidal
Round 2 Jul 27, 2013 vs Chiesa
Round 3 Jun 19, 2009 vs Reynolds

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Masvidal 7.6
fighter Lee 7.1
Fast finishes by Masvidal
503 seconds Nov 07, 2009 vs Kitaoka
79 seconds Apr 03, 2009 vs Agallar
117 seconds Sep 28, 2008 vs Schultz
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
DECX
1,9351,725
1,9581,702
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Masvidal
legend Lee
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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