UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Masvidal vs Agallar

2,125

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Masvidal

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
78% chance Masvidal
WILL WIN

1,904

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Jorge Masvidal
Much stronger jaw 9.5 vs 8.2 More than 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.8 vs 8.5 Around 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly better striker 8.8 vs 8.3 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly harder to hit 8.8 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Stronger takedown offense 8.7 vs 8.3 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Younger 32 years vs 38 years More than 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Taller 180 cm vs 173 cm Around 5% taller
Better takedown defense 8.5 vs 8.1 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Better submission defense 9.2 vs 8.8 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Heavier 169 lbs vs 155 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Heavier hands 7.5 vs 7.4 Almost the same
Advantages for Nick Agallar
Much better submission offense 8.2 vs 6.9 Around 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 8.7 vs 7.6 More than 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Masvidal on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Agallar’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jorge
Masvidal
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Masvidal Agallar
Significant Strikes84
Masvidal's good striking offense may be a factor against Agallar's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Masvidal's good takedown offense may be a factor against Agallar's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Masvidal is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Masvidal is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Masvidal has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Agallar on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Masvidal’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Nick
Agallar
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Agallar Masvidal
Significant Strikes54
Agallar's average striking offense is matched by Masvidal's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Agallar's average takedown offense is matched by Masvidal's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Agallar is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Agallar has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Agallar is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Masvidal 8.8
fighter Agallar 8.3
Great striking by Masvidal
50 strikes Apr 20, 2013 vs Means
82 strikes Jul 14, 2012 vs Wilcox
56 strikes Mar 05, 2011 vs Evangelista

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Masvidal 8.7
fighter Agallar 8.3
Great takedowns by Masvidal
6 takedowns Apr 20, 2013 vs Means
7 takedowns Jun 18, 2011 vs Noons
3 takedowns Mar 05, 2011 vs Evangelista

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Masvidal 7.5
fighter Agallar 7.4
Great knockouts by Masvidal
Round 2 Nov 07, 2009 vs Kitaoka
Round 1 Apr 03, 2009 vs Agallar
Round 1 Sep 28, 2008 vs Schultz

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Masvidal 6.9
fighter Agallar 8.3
Great submissions by Agallar
Round 1 Mar 05, 2011 vs Sickinger
Round 1 Aug 07, 2010 vs Dupees
Round 0 May 14, 2005 vs Lehr Cochran

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Masvidal 7.6
fighter Agallar 8.7
Fast finishes by Agallar
184 seconds Mar 05, 2011 vs Sickinger
238 seconds Aug 07, 2010 vs Dupees
448 seconds Oct 18, 2003 vs Jordan
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
April 3, 2009Bellator 1
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
R1 KOX
1,9971,862
2,0281,831
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Masvidal
legend Agallar
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
comments powered by Disqus