UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Masvidal vs Kitaoka

2,125

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Masvidal

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
65% chance Masvidal
WILL WIN

2,015

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Jorge Masvidal
Much heavier hands 7.5 vs 5.4 Around 40% better at knocking out good defenders
Much stronger jaw 9.5 vs 8.2 More than 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better striker 8.8 vs 8.0 Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
A lot taller 180 cm vs 168 cm Around 10% taller
Stronger takedown offense 8.7 vs 8.2 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Harder to hit 8.8 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Better takedown defense 8.5 vs 8.2 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Puts up a fight 9.8 vs 9.4 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Younger 33 years vs 37 years More than 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Heavier 169 lbs vs 155 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Advantages for Satoru Kitaoka
Much better submission offense 8.1 vs 6.9 Around 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly fast finishes 8.1 vs 7.6 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly better submission defense 9.9 vs 9.2 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Masvidal on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Kitaoka’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jorge
Masvidal
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Masvidal Kitaoka
Significant Strikes82
Masvidal's good striking offense may be a factor against Kitaoka's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Masvidal's good takedown offense may be a factor against Kitaoka's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Masvidal is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Masvidal is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Masvidal has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Kitaoka on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Masvidal’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Satoru
Kitaoka
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Kitaoka Masvidal
Significant Strikes44
Kitaoka's below average striking offense won't be a factor against Masvidal's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Below average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Kitaoka's average takedown offense is matched by Masvidal's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Kitaoka is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Kitaoka has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Kitaoka has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Masvidal 8.8
fighter Kitaoka 8.0
Great striking by Masvidal
50 strikes Apr 20, 2013 vs Means
82 strikes Jul 14, 2012 vs Wilcox
56 strikes Mar 05, 2011 vs Evangelista

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Masvidal 8.7
fighter Kitaoka 8.3
Great takedowns by Masvidal
6 takedowns Apr 20, 2013 vs Means
7 takedowns Jun 18, 2011 vs Noons
3 takedowns Mar 05, 2011 vs Evangelista

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Masvidal 7.5
fighter Kitaoka 5.4
Great knockouts by Masvidal
Round 2 Nov 07, 2009 vs Kitaoka
Round 1 Apr 03, 2009 vs Agallar
Round 1 Sep 28, 2008 vs Schultz

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Masvidal 6.9
fighter Kitaoka 8.1
Great submissions by Kitaoka
Round 1 Jan 04, 2009 vs Gomi
Round 1 Nov 01, 2008 vs Mitsuoka
Round 1 Aug 24, 2008 vs French

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Masvidal 7.6
fighter Kitaoka 8.1
Fast finishes by Kitaoka
101 seconds Jan 04, 2009 vs Gomi
76 seconds Nov 01, 2008 vs Mitsuoka
31 seconds Aug 24, 2008 vs French
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R2 KOX
XR1 SUB
1,9872,027
2,0431,971
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Masvidal
legend Kitaoka
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
comments powered by Disqus