UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Masvidal vs Assuncao

2,125

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Masvidal

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
54% chance Masvidal
WILL WIN

2,100

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Jorge Masvidal
A lot taller 180 cm vs 165 cm Around 10% taller
Significantly stronger jaw 9.5 vs 8.7 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly heavier hands 7.5 vs 6.9 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly longer reach 185 cm vs 171 cm Around 10% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.7 vs 8.2 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Heavier 169 lbs vs 134 lbs More than 25% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Puts up a fight 9.8 vs 9.3 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Slightly younger 33 years vs 35 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Raphael Assuncao
Much better submission offense 7.7 vs 6.9 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly better takedown defense 9.2 vs 8.5 Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Fast finishes 7.8 vs 7.6 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Harder to hit 9.0 vs 8.8 Almost the same
Masvidal on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Assuncao’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jorge
Masvidal
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Masvidal Assuncao
Significant Strikes64
Masvidal's good striking offense is matched by Assuncao's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Masvidal's good takedown offense won't be a factor against Assuncao's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Masvidal is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Masvidal is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Masvidal has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Assuncao on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Masvidal’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Raphael
Assuncao
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Assuncao Masvidal
Significant Strikes71
Assuncao's good striking offense may be a factor against Masvidal's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Assuncao's average takedown offense is matched by Masvidal's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Assuncao is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Assuncao is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Assuncao has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Masvidal 8.8
fighter Assuncao 8.8
Great striking by Assuncao
57 strikes Dec 08, 2012 vs Easton
53 strikes Aug 27, 2011 vs Eduardo
47 strikes Nov 11, 2010 vs Davis

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Masvidal 8.7
fighter Assuncao 8.2
Great takedowns by Masvidal
6 takedowns Apr 20, 2013 vs Means
7 takedowns Jun 18, 2011 vs Noons
3 takedowns Mar 05, 2011 vs Evangelista

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Masvidal 7.5
fighter Assuncao 6.9
Great knockouts by Masvidal
Round 2 Nov 07, 2009 vs Kitaoka
Round 1 Apr 03, 2009 vs Agallar
Round 1 Sep 28, 2008 vs Schultz

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Masvidal 6.9
fighter Assuncao 7.7
Great submissions by Assuncao
Round 2 Jun 08, 2013 vs Lee
Round 3 Oct 14, 2006 vs Birdsley
Round 2 Feb 18, 2006 vs Lauzon

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Masvidal 7.6
fighter Assuncao 7.8
Fast finishes by Assuncao
325 seconds Jul 11, 2012 vs Tamura
702 seconds Oct 14, 2006 vs Birdsley
577 seconds Feb 18, 2006 vs Lauzon
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
XR3 DEC
DECX
1,7411,672
1,6811,732
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Masvidal
legend Assuncao
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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