UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Masvidal vs Nurmagomedov

2,125

CageRank

WINNER
Nurmagomedov

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
59% chance Nurmagomedov
WILL WIN

2,192

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Khabib Nurmagomedov
Fast finishes 8.4 vs 7.6 More than 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much better submission offense 7.8 vs 6.9 Around 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better takedown defense 9.0 vs 8.5 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Stronger takedown offense 9.0 vs 8.7 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Heavier hands 7.7 vs 7.5 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Younger 28 years vs 32 years Around 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Harder to hit 8.9 vs 8.8 Almost the same
Advantages for Jorge Masvidal
Significantly stronger jaw 9.5 vs 8.8 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.8 vs 9.1 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Longer reach 185 cm vs 178 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Heavier 169 lbs vs 155 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Better striker 8.8 vs 8.6 Almost the same
Taller 180 cm vs 178 cm Almost the same
Nurmagomedov on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Masvidal’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Khabib
Nurmagomedov
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Nurmagomedov Masvidal
Significant Strikes67
Nurmagomedov's good striking offense may be a factor against Masvidal's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Nurmagomedov's good takedown offense may be a factor against Masvidal's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Nurmagomedov is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Nurmagomedov is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Nurmagomedov has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Masvidal on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Nurmagomedov’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jorge
Masvidal
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Masvidal Nurmagomedov
Significant Strikes66
Masvidal's good striking offense is matched by Nurmagomedov's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Masvidal's good takedown offense is matched by Nurmagomedov's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Masvidal is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Masvidal is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Masvidal has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Nurmagomedov 8.6
fighter Masvidal 8.8
Great striking by Masvidal
50 strikes Apr 20, 2013 vs Means
82 strikes Jul 14, 2012 vs Wilcox
56 strikes Mar 05, 2011 vs Evangelista

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Nurmagomedov 9.0
fighter Masvidal 8.7
Great takedowns by Nurmagomedov
5 takedowns Sep 21, 2013 vs Healy
21 takedowns May 25, 2013 vs Trujillo
3 takedowns Jan 20, 2012 vs Shalorus

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Nurmagomedov 7.7
fighter Masvidal 7.5
Great knockouts by Nurmagomedov
Round 1 Jan 19, 2013 vs Tavares
Round 1 Oct 22, 2011 vs Santos
Round 2 Feb 12, 2011 vs Agafonov

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Nurmagomedov 7.8
fighter Masvidal 6.9
Great submissions by Nurmagomedov
Round 3 Jan 20, 2012 vs Shalorus
Round 1 Aug 05, 2011 vs Mamedov
Round 1 Nov 03, 2009 vs Shamhalaev

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Nurmagomedov 8.4
fighter Masvidal 7.6
Fast finishes by Nurmagomedov
115 seconds Jan 19, 2013 vs Tavares
728 seconds Jan 20, 2012 vs Shalorus
213 seconds Oct 22, 2011 vs Santos
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Nurmagomedov
legend Masvidal
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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