UFC fight predictions and analysis
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CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Masvidal vs Larkin

2,125

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Masvidal

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
80% chance Masvidal
WILL WIN

1,889

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Jorge Masvidal
Much stronger takedown offense 8.7 vs 7.6 Around 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly stronger jaw 9.5 vs 8.5 More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.8 vs 8.8 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better submission offense 6.9 vs 6.2 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better submission defense 9.2 vs 8.7 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Better striker 8.8 vs 8.6 Almost the same
Advantages for Lorenz Larkin
Heavier hands 8.0 vs 7.5 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Younger 31 years vs 33 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Masvidal on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Larkin’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jorge
Masvidal
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Masvidal Larkin
Significant Strikes70
Masvidal's good striking offense may be a factor against Larkin's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Masvidal's good takedown offense may be a factor against Larkin's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Masvidal is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Masvidal is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Masvidal has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Larkin on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Masvidal’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Lorenz
Larkin
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Larkin Masvidal
Significant Strikes64
Larkin's average striking offense is matched by Masvidal's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Larkin's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Masvidal's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Larkin is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Larkin is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Larkin is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Masvidal 8.8
fighter Larkin 8.6
Great striking by Masvidal
50 strikes Apr 20, 2013 vs Means
82 strikes Jul 14, 2012 vs Wilcox
56 strikes Mar 05, 2011 vs Evangelista

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Masvidal 8.7
fighter Larkin 7.6
Great takedowns by Masvidal
6 takedowns Apr 20, 2013 vs Means
7 takedowns Jun 18, 2011 vs Noons
3 takedowns Mar 05, 2011 vs Evangelista

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Masvidal 7.5
fighter Larkin 8.0
Great knockouts by Larkin
Round 2 Apr 01, 2011 vs Lighty
Round 2 Feb 25, 2011 vs Cook
Round 1 Jun 12, 2010 vs Carson

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Masvidal 6.9
fighter Larkin 6.2
Great submissions by Masvidal
Round 2 Jul 27, 2013 vs Chiesa
Round 3 Jun 19, 2009 vs Reynolds

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Masvidal 7.6
fighter Larkin 7.6
Fast finishes by Larkin
495 seconds Apr 01, 2011 vs Lighty
512 seconds Feb 25, 2011 vs Cook
174 seconds Jun 12, 2010 vs Carson
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
May 29, 2016UFC Fight Night 88
team
VS
team
XR3 DEC
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Masvidal
legend Larkin
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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