UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Masvidal vs Wilcox

2,125

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Masvidal

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
71% chance Masvidal
WILL WIN

1,970

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Jorge Masvidal
Much stronger jaw 9.5 vs 8.2 More than 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.8 vs 8.4 More than 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly longer reach 185 cm vs 168 cm More than 10% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Significantly fast finishes 7.6 vs 7.1 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
A lot taller 180 cm vs 168 cm Around 10% taller
Significantly heavier hands 7.5 vs 7.0 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Stronger takedown offense 8.7 vs 8.3 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Harder to hit 8.8 vs 8.5 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Better striker 8.8 vs 8.5 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Younger 32 years vs 38 years More than 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better submission defense 9.2 vs 8.8 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Heavier 169 lbs vs 155 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Advantages for Justin Wilcox
Better submission offense 7.2 vs 6.9 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better takedown defense 8.8 vs 8.5 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Masvidal on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Wilcox’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jorge
Masvidal
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Masvidal Wilcox
Significant Strikes79
Masvidal's good striking offense may be a factor against Wilcox's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Masvidal's good takedown offense is matched by Wilcox's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Masvidal is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Masvidal is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Masvidal has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Wilcox on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Masvidal’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Justin
Wilcox
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Wilcox Masvidal
Significant Strikes62
Wilcox's average striking offense is matched by Masvidal's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Wilcox's average takedown offense is matched by Masvidal's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Wilcox is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Wilcox is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Wilcox has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Masvidal 8.8
fighter Wilcox 8.5
Great striking by Masvidal
50 strikes Apr 20, 2013 vs Means
82 strikes Jul 14, 2012 vs Wilcox
56 strikes Mar 05, 2011 vs Evangelista

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Masvidal 8.7
fighter Wilcox 8.3
Great takedowns by Masvidal
6 takedowns Apr 20, 2013 vs Means
7 takedowns Jun 18, 2011 vs Noons
3 takedowns Mar 05, 2011 vs Evangelista

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Masvidal 7.5
fighter Wilcox 7.0
Great knockouts by Masvidal
Round 2 Nov 07, 2009 vs Kitaoka
Round 1 Apr 03, 2009 vs Agallar
Round 1 Sep 28, 2008 vs Schultz

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Masvidal 6.9
fighter Wilcox 7.3
Great submissions by Wilcox
Round 2 Sep 13, 2013 vs Stepanyan
Round 3 Aug 15, 2009 vs Douglas
Round 2 Nov 23, 2005 vs Shawn

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Masvidal 7.6
fighter Wilcox 7.1
Fast finishes by Masvidal
503 seconds Nov 07, 2009 vs Kitaoka
79 seconds Apr 03, 2009 vs Agallar
117 seconds Sep 28, 2008 vs Schultz
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
R1 KOX
2,0091,927
2,0481,888
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Masvidal
legend Wilcox
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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