UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Masvidal vs Parke

2,125

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Masvidal

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
62% chance Masvidal
WILL WIN

2,042

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Jorge Masvidal
Significantly stronger jaw 9.5 vs 8.8 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly harder to hit 8.8 vs 8.4 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Puts up a fight 9.8 vs 9.2 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Longer reach 185 cm vs 178 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Better striker 8.8 vs 8.6 Almost the same
Heavier 169 lbs vs 155 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Stronger takedown offense 8.7 vs 8.6 Almost the same
Advantages for Norman Parke
Much better submission offense 7.7 vs 6.9 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Slightly younger 31 years vs 33 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Masvidal on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Parke’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jorge
Masvidal
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Masvidal Parke
Significant Strikes85
Masvidal's good striking offense may be a factor against Parke's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Masvidal's good takedown offense may be a factor against Parke's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Masvidal is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Masvidal is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Masvidal has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Parke on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Masvidal’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Norman
Parke
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Parke Masvidal
Significant Strikes65
Parke's average striking offense is matched by Masvidal's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Parke's average takedown offense is matched by Masvidal's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Parke is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Parke is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Parke is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Masvidal 8.8
fighter Parke 8.6
Great striking by Masvidal
50 strikes Apr 20, 2013 vs Means
82 strikes Jul 14, 2012 vs Wilcox
56 strikes Mar 05, 2011 vs Evangelista

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Masvidal 8.7
fighter Parke 8.6
Great takedowns by Masvidal
6 takedowns Apr 20, 2013 vs Means
7 takedowns Jun 18, 2011 vs Noons
3 takedowns Mar 05, 2011 vs Evangelista

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Masvidal 7.5
fighter Parke 7.4
Great knockouts by Masvidal
Round 2 Nov 07, 2009 vs Kitaoka
Round 1 Apr 03, 2009 vs Agallar
Round 1 Sep 28, 2008 vs Schultz

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Masvidal 6.9
fighter Parke 7.7
Great submissions by Parke
Round 1 Feb 05, 2010 vs Price
Round 1 Oct 03, 2009 vs Davis
Round 2 Aug 21, 2008 vs Maclean

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Masvidal 7.6
fighter Parke 7.6
Fast finishes by Parke
207 seconds Feb 05, 2010 vs Price
190 seconds Oct 03, 2009 vs Davis
126 seconds Aug 08, 2009 vs Bowman
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Masvidal
legend Parke
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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