UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Braga Neto vs Larson

1,831

CageRank

WINNER
Larson

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
57% chance Larson
WILL WIN

1,879

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Brock Larson
Much harder to hit 9.5 vs 8.5 More than 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly better takedown defense 8.8 vs 8.2 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Stronger jaw 9.4 vs 8.9 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better submission defense 8.8 vs 8.3 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Advantages for Antonio Braga Neto
Much better submission offense 8.7 vs 7.8 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly younger 30 years vs 41 years More than 25% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Fast finishes 8.5 vs 8.2 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Taller 191 cm vs 180 cm More than 5% taller
Better striker 8.4 vs 8.1 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Heavier 184 lbs vs 169 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Stronger takedown offense 8.8 vs 8.7 Almost the same
Larson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Braga Neto’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Brock
Larson
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Larson Braga Neto
Significant Strikes59
Larson's average striking offense is matched by Braga Neto's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Larson's average takedown offense is matched by Braga Neto's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Larson is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Larson has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Larson has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Braga Neto on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Larson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Antonio
Braga Neto
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Braga Neto Larson
Significant Strikes38
Braga Neto's average striking offense won't be a factor against Larson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Braga Neto's good takedown offense is matched by Larson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Braga Neto is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Braga Neto has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Braga Neto is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Larson 8.2
fighter Braga Neto 8.4
Great striking by Braga Neto
6 strikes Jun 08, 2013 vs Smith

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Larson 8.7
fighter Braga Neto 8.8
Great takedowns by Braga Neto
1 takedown Jun 08, 2013 vs Smith

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Larson 6.7
fighter Braga Neto 6.7
Great knockouts by Braga Neto
Round 1 Nov 20, 2007 vs Matos

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Larson 7.9
fighter Braga Neto 8.7
Great submissions by Braga Neto
Round 1 Jun 08, 2013 vs Smith
Round 1 Mar 04, 2012 vs Larson
Round 2 Sep 14, 2011 vs Falcao

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Larson 8.2
fighter Braga Neto 8.5
Fast finishes by Braga Neto
112 seconds Jun 08, 2013 vs Smith
64 seconds Mar 04, 2012 vs Larson
566 seconds Sep 14, 2011 vs Falcao
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R1 SUBX
XR2 SUB
1,7671,846
1,8281,785
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Larson
legend Braga Neto
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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