UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Melendez vs Ishida

2,243

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Melendez

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
91% chance Melendez
WILL WIN

1,833

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Gilbert Melendez
Much heavier hands 8.3 vs 6.7 Around 25% better at knocking out good defenders
Better striker 9.3 vs 8.2 Around 15% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Fast finishes 8.3 vs 7.3 Around 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much stronger jaw 9.2 vs 7.9 More than 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.7 vs 8.3 More than 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly longer reach 185 cm vs 170 cm Around 10% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Better submission defense 9.4 vs 8.9 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Taller 175 cm vs 168 cm Around 5% taller
Younger 35 years vs 38 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Heavier 155 lbs vs 142 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Advantages for Mitsuhiro Ishida
Significantly stronger takedown offense 9.5 vs 8.9 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Harder to hit 9.3 vs 9.0 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Better submission offense 6.7 vs 6.5 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Melendez on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Ishida’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Gilbert
Melendez
In 9:52, how much damage will he do? Melendez Ishida
Significant Strikes49
Melendez's excellent striking offense is matched by Ishida's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 89 Significant Strikes in 9:52
Excellent
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Melendez's good takedown offense won't be a factor against Ishida's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:52
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Melendez has a very good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Melendez is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Melendez has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Ishida on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Melendez’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Mitsuhiro
Ishida
In 9:52, how much damage will he do? Ishida Melendez
Significant Strikes29
Ishida's average striking offense won't be a factor against Melendez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 89 Significant Strikes in 9:52
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Ishida's excellent takedown offense is matched by Melendez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:52
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Ishida is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Ishida is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Ishida has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Melendez 9.3
fighter Ishida 8.2
Great striking by Melendez
96 strikes Oct 19, 2013 vs Sanchez
33 strikes Apr 09, 2011 vs Kawajiri
69 strikes Apr 17, 2010 vs Aoki

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Melendez 8.9
fighter Ishida 9.5
Great takedowns by Ishida
5 takedowns Mar 08, 2009 vs Nakamura
7 takedowns Dec 31, 2007 vs Melendez
4 takedowns Jun 04, 2006 vs Aurelio

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Melendez 8.3
fighter Ishida 6.7
Great knockouts by Melendez
Round 1 Apr 09, 2011 vs Kawajiri
Round 3 Aug 15, 2009 vs Ishida
Round 2 Oct 10, 2003 vs Palling

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Melendez 6.5
fighter Ishida 6.7
Great submissions by Ishida
Round 1 Sep 20, 2008 vs Wilcox
Round 1 Apr 02, 2006 vs Rodriguez

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Melendez 8.3
fighter Ishida 7.3
Fast finishes by Melendez
194 seconds Apr 09, 2011 vs Kawajiri
836 seconds Aug 15, 2009 vs Ishida
92 seconds Aug 20, 2005 vs Sato
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R3 KOX
R1 KOX
2,0121,940
2,0511,900
team
VS
team
XR2 DEC
DECX
2,0901,942
2,0202,012
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Melendez
legend Ishida
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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