UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Melendez vs Damm

2,243

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Melendez

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
89% chance Melendez
WILL WIN

1,880

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Gilbert Melendez
Much heavier hands 8.3 vs 7.0 Around 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Better striker 9.3 vs 8.5 Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much harder to hit 9.0 vs 8.2 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much stronger takedown offense 8.9 vs 7.9 Around 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much stronger jaw 9.2 vs 8.1 Around 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.7 vs 8.6 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly fast finishes 8.3 vs 7.7 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly better submission defense 9.4 vs 8.7 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Better takedown defense 9.2 vs 8.9 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Taller 175 cm vs 170 cm Around 5% taller
Longer reach 185 cm vs 180 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Heavier 155 lbs vs 144 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Slightly younger 34 years vs 36 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Rodrigo Damm
Much better submission offense 7.7 vs 6.5 Around 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Melendez on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Damm’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Gilbert
Melendez
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Melendez Damm
Significant Strikes105
Melendez's excellent striking offense will dominate Damm's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Melendez's good takedown offense is matched by Damm's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Melendez has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Melendez is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Melendez has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Damm on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Melendez’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Rodrigo
Damm
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Damm Melendez
Significant Strikes55
Damm's average striking offense won't be a factor against Melendez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Damm's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Melendez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Damm is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Damm is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Damm is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Melendez 9.3
fighter Damm 8.5
Great striking by Melendez
96 strikes Oct 19, 2013 vs Sanchez
33 strikes Apr 09, 2011 vs Kawajiri
69 strikes Apr 17, 2010 vs Aoki

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Melendez 8.9
fighter Damm 7.9
Great takedowns by Melendez
1 takedown Oct 19, 2013 vs Sanchez
5 takedowns May 19, 2012 vs Thomson
2 takedowns Apr 09, 2011 vs Kawajiri

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Melendez 8.3
fighter Damm 7.0
Great knockouts by Melendez
Round 1 Apr 09, 2011 vs Kawajiri
Round 3 Aug 15, 2009 vs Ishida
Round 2 Oct 10, 2003 vs Palling

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Melendez 6.5
fighter Damm 7.7
Great submissions by Damm
Round 1 Jun 23, 2012 vs Medeiros
Round 2 Apr 14, 2007 vs Defranco
Round 2 Dec 16, 2006 vs Gill

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Melendez 8.3
fighter Damm 7.7
Fast finishes by Melendez
194 seconds Apr 09, 2011 vs Kawajiri
836 seconds Aug 15, 2009 vs Ishida
92 seconds Aug 20, 2005 vs Sato
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R2 KOX
DECX
1,9821,832
2,0121,803
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Melendez
legend Damm
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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