UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Melendez vs Grant

2,243

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Melendez

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
65% chance Melendez
WILL WIN

2,138

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Gilbert Melendez
Much harder to hit 9.0 vs 8.3 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.9 vs 8.1 More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly better takedown defense 9.2 vs 8.6 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Heavier hands 8.3 vs 7.7 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Better striker 9.3 vs 9.1 Almost the same
Better submission defense 9.4 vs 9.1 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 9.7 vs 9.4 Almost the same
Advantages for T.J. Grant
Much better submission offense 8.2 vs 6.5 More than 25% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Taller 178 cm vs 175 cm Almost the same
Younger 34 years vs 36 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Melendez on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Grant’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Gilbert
Melendez
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Melendez Grant
Significant Strikes103
Melendez's excellent striking offense will dominate Grant's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Melendez's good takedown offense may be a factor against Grant's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Melendez has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Melendez is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Melendez has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Grant on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Melendez’s defensive skills
Predictions For
T.J.
Grant
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Grant Melendez
Significant Strikes76
Grant's excellent striking offense will dominate Melendez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Grant's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Melendez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Grant is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Grant has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Grant is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Melendez 9.3
fighter Grant 9.1
Great striking by Melendez
96 strikes Oct 19, 2013 vs Sanchez
33 strikes Apr 09, 2011 vs Kawajiri
69 strikes Apr 17, 2010 vs Aoki

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Melendez 8.9
fighter Grant 8.1
Great takedowns by Melendez
1 takedown Oct 19, 2013 vs Sanchez
5 takedowns May 19, 2012 vs Thomson
2 takedowns Apr 09, 2011 vs Kawajiri

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Melendez 8.3
fighter Grant 7.7
Great knockouts by Melendez
Round 1 Apr 09, 2011 vs Kawajiri
Round 3 Aug 15, 2009 vs Ishida
Round 2 Oct 10, 2003 vs Palling

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Melendez 6.5
fighter Grant 8.2
Great submissions by Grant
Round 3 Oct 01, 2011 vs Roller
Round 2 Oct 03, 2008 vs Petz
Round 3 Jun 21, 2008 vs Reiner

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Melendez 8.3
fighter Grant 8.3
Fast finishes by Grant
127 seconds May 25, 2013 vs Maynard
291 seconds Jan 26, 2013 vs Wiman
732 seconds Oct 01, 2011 vs Roller
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Melendez
legend Grant
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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