UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Melendez vs Hougland

2,243

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Melendez

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
95% chance Melendez
WILL WIN

1,731

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Gilbert Melendez
Much heavier hands 8.3 vs 6.5 Around 30% better at knocking out good defenders
Better striker 9.3 vs 8.0 More than 15% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much better takedown defense 9.2 vs 8.2 More than 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Much better submission defense 9.4 vs 8.2 Around 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 9.7 vs 8.4 Around 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly harder to hit 9.0 vs 8.4 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.9 vs 8.3 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly stronger jaw 9.2 vs 8.5 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly longer reach 185 cm vs 173 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Heavier 155 lbs vs 134 lbs More than 15% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Younger 35 years vs 38 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Fast finishes 8.3 vs 8.1 Almost the same
Advantages for Jeff Hougland
Much better submission offense 7.9 vs 6.5 More than 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Melendez on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Hougland’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Gilbert
Melendez
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Melendez Hougland
Significant Strikes100
Melendez's excellent striking offense will dominate Hougland's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Melendez's good takedown offense may be a factor against Hougland's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Melendez has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Melendez is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Melendez has a very good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Hougland on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Melendez’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jeff
Hougland
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Hougland Melendez
Significant Strikes39
Hougland's below average striking offense won't be a factor against Melendez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Below average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Hougland's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Melendez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Hougland is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Hougland is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Hougland is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Melendez 9.3
fighter Hougland 8.0
Great striking by Melendez
96 strikes Oct 19, 2013 vs Sanchez
33 strikes Apr 09, 2011 vs Kawajiri
69 strikes Apr 17, 2010 vs Aoki

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Melendez 8.9
fighter Hougland 8.3
Great takedowns by Melendez
1 takedown Oct 19, 2013 vs Sanchez
5 takedowns May 19, 2012 vs Thomson
2 takedowns Apr 09, 2011 vs Kawajiri

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Melendez 8.3
fighter Hougland 6.5
Great knockouts by Melendez
Round 1 Apr 09, 2011 vs Kawajiri
Round 3 Aug 15, 2009 vs Ishida
Round 2 Oct 10, 2003 vs Palling

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Melendez 6.5
fighter Hougland 7.9
Great submissions by Hougland
Round 1 Jan 15, 2011 vs Avelar
Round 1 Sep 25, 2010 vs Burnett
Round 1 Jul 10, 2010 vs Bradshaw

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Melendez 8.3
fighter Hougland 8.1
Fast finishes by Melendez
194 seconds Apr 09, 2011 vs Kawajiri
836 seconds Aug 15, 2009 vs Ishida
92 seconds Aug 20, 2005 vs Sato
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
March 27, 2003WEC 6
team
VS
team
R2 KOX
R3 SUBX
1,6331,467
1,6611,439
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Melendez
legend Hougland
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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