UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Melendez vs Stephens

2,243

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Melendez

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
82% chance Melendez
WILL WIN

1,978

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Gilbert Melendez
Better striker 9.3 vs 8.5 Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much stronger takedown offense 8.9 vs 8.0 More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better takedown defense 9.2 vs 8.8 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Fast finishes 8.3 vs 8.0 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Longer reach 185 cm vs 180 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Puts up a fight 9.7 vs 9.4 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Heavier 155 lbs vs 144 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Better submission defense 9.4 vs 9.2 Almost the same
Heavier hands 8.3 vs 8.2 Almost the same
Advantages for Jeremy Stephens
Younger 31 years vs 35 years More than 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Melendez on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Stephens’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Gilbert
Melendez
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Melendez Stephens
Significant Strikes83
Melendez's excellent striking offense will dominate Stephens's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Melendez's good takedown offense is matched by Stephens's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Melendez has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Melendez is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Melendez has a very good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Stephens on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Melendez’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jeremy
Stephens
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Stephens Melendez
Significant Strikes57
Stephens's average striking offense won't be a factor against Melendez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Stephens's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Melendez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Stephens has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Stephens is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Stephens is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Melendez 9.3
fighter Stephens 8.5
Great striking by Melendez
96 strikes Oct 19, 2013 vs Sanchez
33 strikes Apr 09, 2011 vs Kawajiri
69 strikes Apr 17, 2010 vs Aoki

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Melendez 8.9
fighter Stephens 8.0
Great takedowns by Melendez
1 takedown Oct 19, 2013 vs Sanchez
5 takedowns May 19, 2012 vs Thomson
2 takedowns Apr 09, 2011 vs Kawajiri

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Melendez 8.3
fighter Stephens 8.2
Great knockouts by Melendez
Round 1 Apr 09, 2011 vs Kawajiri
Round 3 Aug 15, 2009 vs Ishida
Round 2 Oct 10, 2003 vs Palling

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Melendez 6.5
fighter Stephens 6.5
Great submissions by Stephens
Round 1 Aug 19, 2006 vs Alcorn
Round 2 Feb 06, 2004 vs Bell
Round 3 Jan 16, 2004 vs Erdman

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Melendez 8.3
fighter Stephens 8.0
Fast finishes by Melendez
194 seconds Apr 09, 2011 vs Kawajiri
836 seconds Aug 15, 2009 vs Ishida
92 seconds Aug 20, 2005 vs Sato
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Melendez
legend Stephens
Read More
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Fantasy Cage Match
Stephens vs McGregor
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Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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