UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Melendez vs Palling

2,243

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Melendez

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
96% chance Melendez
WILL WIN

1,671

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Gilbert Melendez
Much heavier hands 8.3 vs 7.0 Around 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Much stronger jaw 9.2 vs 7.5 More than 20% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.7 vs 8.1 Around 20% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Fast finishes 8.3 vs 7.6 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much younger 35 years vs 50 years 30% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Much better submission defense 9.4 vs 8.3 Around 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
A lot taller 175 cm vs 163 cm Around 10% taller
Heavier 155 lbs vs 142 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Advantages for Stephen Palling
Much better submission offense 7.2 vs 6.5 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Melendez on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Palling’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Gilbert
Melendez
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Melendez has a very good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Melendez is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Melendez has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Palling on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Melendez’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Stephen
Palling
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Palling is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Palling is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Palling is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Melendez 8.3
fighter Palling 7.0
Great knockouts by Melendez
Round 1 Apr 09, 2011 vs Kawajiri
Round 3 Aug 15, 2009 vs Ishida
Round 2 Oct 10, 2003 vs Palling

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Melendez 6.5
fighter Palling 7.2
Great submissions by Palling
Round 1 Dec 07, 2002 vs Ackerman
Round 2 Jun 07, 2002 vs Haltom
Round 3 Apr 15, 2000 vs Payne

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Melendez 8.3
fighter Palling 7.6
Fast finishes by Melendez
194 seconds Apr 09, 2011 vs Kawajiri
836 seconds Aug 15, 2009 vs Ishida
92 seconds Aug 20, 2005 vs Sato
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
October 10, 2003ROTR 4
team
VS
team
R2 KOX
XR2 SUB
1,6611,833
1,7341,760
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Melendez
legend Palling
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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