UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Melendez vs Sato

2,243

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Melendez

prediction

BY KO ROUND 1

prediction
97% chance Melendez
WILL WIN

1,623

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Gilbert Melendez
Much stronger jaw 9.2 vs 6.4 Around 45% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.7 vs 7.1 More than 35% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Much heavier hands 8.3 vs 7.0 Around 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 8.3 vs 7.6 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly better submission defense 9.4 vs 8.5 More than 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Significantly younger 34 years vs 43 years More than 20% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Taller 175 cm vs 168 cm Around 5% taller
Heavier 155 lbs vs 136 lbs Around 15% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Advantages for Rumina Sato
Better submission offense 6.9 vs 6.5 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Melendez on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Sato’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Gilbert
Melendez
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Melendez has a very good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Weak
Jaw
Submission
Melendez is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Melendez has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Sato on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Melendez’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Rumina
Sato
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Sato is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Sato is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Sato is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Melendez 8.3
fighter Sato 7.0
Great knockouts by Melendez
Round 1 Apr 09, 2011 vs Kawajiri
Round 3 Aug 15, 2009 vs Ishida
Round 2 Oct 10, 2003 vs Palling

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Melendez 6.5
fighter Sato 6.9
Great submissions by Sato
Round 1 Apr 15, 2000 vs Edwards
Round 1 Oct 29, 1999 vs Johns
Round 1 Mar 05, 1996 vs Ueno

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Melendez 8.3
fighter Sato 7.6
Fast finishes by Melendez
194 seconds Apr 09, 2011 vs Kawajiri
836 seconds Aug 15, 2009 vs Ishida
92 seconds Aug 20, 2005 vs Sato
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
August 20, 2005Shooto - Alive Road
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
R1 KOX
1,8931,833
1,9341,792
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Melendez
legend Sato
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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