UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Melendez vs Uematsu

2,243

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Melendez

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
97% chance Melendez
WILL WIN

1,637

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Gilbert Melendez
Much heavier hands 8.3 vs 6.1 More than 35% better at knocking out good defenders
Much stronger jaw 9.2 vs 7.5 More than 20% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.7 vs 8.2 More than 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
A lot taller 175 cm vs 163 cm Around 10% taller
Significantly fast finishes 8.3 vs 7.8 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better submission defense 9.4 vs 9.0 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Younger 35 years vs 39 years More than 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Heavier 155 lbs vs 142 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Advantages for Naoya Uematsu
Much better submission offense 8.1 vs 6.5 Around 25% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Melendez on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Uematsu’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Gilbert
Melendez
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Melendez has a very good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Melendez is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Melendez has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Uematsu on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Melendez’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Naoya
Uematsu
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Uematsu is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Uematsu has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Uematsu is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Melendez 8.3
fighter Uematsu 6.1
Great knockouts by Melendez
Round 1 Apr 09, 2011 vs Kawajiri
Round 3 Aug 15, 2009 vs Ishida
Round 2 Oct 10, 2003 vs Palling

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Melendez 6.5
fighter Uematsu 8.1
Great submissions by Uematsu
Round 1 Apr 05, 2008 vs Doolan
Round 1 Jun 27, 2004 vs Kadowaki
Round 1 Nov 03, 2003 vs Toida

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Melendez 8.3
fighter Uematsu 7.8
Fast finishes by Melendez
194 seconds Apr 09, 2011 vs Kawajiri
836 seconds Aug 15, 2009 vs Ishida
92 seconds Aug 20, 2005 vs Sato
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R2 KOX
R1 KOX
1,8541,776
1,8931,737
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Melendez
legend Uematsu
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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