UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Melendez vs Takaya

2,243

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Melendez

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
89% chance Melendez
WILL WIN

1,879

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Gilbert Melendez
Much stronger takedown offense 8.9 vs 7.4 More than 20% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much harder to hit 9.0 vs 8.1 More than 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly better striker 9.3 vs 8.8 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly stronger jaw 9.2 vs 8.3 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly better submission offense 6.5 vs 6.0 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Puts up a fight 9.7 vs 8.9 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly longer reach 185 cm vs 173 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Significantly better takedown defense 9.2 vs 8.7 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Fast finishes 8.3 vs 7.9 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Taller 175 cm vs 168 cm Around 5% taller
Younger 35 years vs 39 years More than 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Heavier 155 lbs vs 142 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Advantages for Hiroyuki Takaya
From what we can tell, Gilbert Melendez dominates Hiroyuki Takaya in every way.
Melendez on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Takaya’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Gilbert
Melendez
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Melendez Takaya
Significant Strikes108
Melendez's excellent striking offense will dominate Takaya's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Melendez's good takedown offense may be a factor against Takaya's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Melendez has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Melendez is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Melendez has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Takaya on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Melendez’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Hiroyuki
Takaya
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Takaya Melendez
Significant Strikes64
Takaya's good striking offense is matched by Melendez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Takaya's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Melendez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Takaya has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Takaya is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Takaya is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Melendez 9.3
fighter Takaya 8.8
Great striking by Melendez
96 strikes Oct 19, 2013 vs Sanchez
33 strikes Apr 09, 2011 vs Kawajiri
69 strikes Apr 17, 2010 vs Aoki

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Melendez 8.9
fighter Takaya 7.4
Great takedowns by Melendez
1 takedown Oct 19, 2013 vs Sanchez
5 takedowns May 19, 2012 vs Thomson
2 takedowns Apr 09, 2011 vs Kawajiri

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Melendez 8.3
fighter Takaya 8.3
Great knockouts by Takaya
Round 1 May 29, 2010 vs Hansen
Round 1 May 26, 2009 vs Maeda
Round 2 Sep 07, 2005 vs Morkevicius

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Melendez 6.5
fighter Takaya 6.0
Great submissions by Melendez
Round 2 Mar 10, 2006 vs Sarmiento

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Melendez 8.3
fighter Takaya 7.9
Fast finishes by Melendez
194 seconds Apr 09, 2011 vs Kawajiri
836 seconds Aug 15, 2009 vs Ishida
92 seconds Aug 20, 2005 vs Sato
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
R2 KOX
1,8141,741
1,8541,701
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Melendez
legend Takaya
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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