UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Melendez vs Masvidal

2,243

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Melendez

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
66% chance Melendez
WILL WIN

2,125

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Gilbert Melendez
Much heavier hands 8.3 vs 7.5 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 8.3 vs 7.6 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly better striker 9.3 vs 8.8 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly better takedown defense 9.2 vs 8.5 Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Harder to hit 9.0 vs 8.8 Almost the same
Better submission defense 9.4 vs 9.2 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Stronger takedown offense 8.9 vs 8.7 Almost the same
Advantages for Jorge Masvidal
Better submission offense 6.9 vs 6.5 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Stronger jaw 9.5 vs 9.2 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Taller 180 cm vs 175 cm Around 5% taller
Heavier 169 lbs vs 155 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Slightly younger 32 years vs 34 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Melendez on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Masvidal’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Gilbert
Melendez
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Melendez Masvidal
Significant Strikes89
Melendez's excellent striking offense will dominate Masvidal's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Melendez's good takedown offense may be a factor against Masvidal's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Melendez has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Melendez is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Melendez has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Masvidal on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Melendez’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jorge
Masvidal
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Masvidal Melendez
Significant Strikes64
Masvidal's good striking offense is matched by Melendez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Masvidal's good takedown offense won't be a factor against Melendez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Masvidal is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Masvidal is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Masvidal has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Melendez 9.3
fighter Masvidal 8.8
Great striking by Melendez
96 strikes Oct 19, 2013 vs Sanchez
33 strikes Apr 09, 2011 vs Kawajiri
69 strikes Apr 17, 2010 vs Aoki

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Melendez 8.9
fighter Masvidal 8.7
Great takedowns by Melendez
1 takedown Oct 19, 2013 vs Sanchez
5 takedowns May 19, 2012 vs Thomson
2 takedowns Apr 09, 2011 vs Kawajiri

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Melendez 8.3
fighter Masvidal 7.5
Great knockouts by Melendez
Round 1 Apr 09, 2011 vs Kawajiri
Round 3 Aug 15, 2009 vs Ishida
Round 2 Oct 10, 2003 vs Palling

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Melendez 6.5
fighter Masvidal 6.9
Great submissions by Masvidal
Round 2 Jul 27, 2013 vs Chiesa
Round 3 Jun 19, 2009 vs Reynolds

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Melendez 8.3
fighter Masvidal 7.6
Fast finishes by Melendez
194 seconds Apr 09, 2011 vs Kawajiri
836 seconds Aug 15, 2009 vs Ishida
92 seconds Aug 20, 2005 vs Sato
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R5 DECX
DECX
2,2052,037
2,2332,009
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Melendez
legend Masvidal
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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