UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Melendez vs Sarmiento

2,243

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Melendez

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
97% chance Melendez
WILL WIN

1,648

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Gilbert Melendez
Much heavier hands 8.3 vs 6.3 More than 30% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 8.3 vs 6.8 More than 20% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better striker 9.3 vs 8.1 Around 15% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much better takedown defense 9.2 vs 7.7 Around 20% better at avoiding being taken down
Much harder to hit 9.0 vs 8.4 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Puts up a fight 9.7 vs 8.8 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly better submission defense 9.4 vs 8.7 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Stronger takedown offense 8.9 vs 8.4 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Taller 175 cm vs 168 cm Around 5% taller
Stronger jaw 9.2 vs 9.0 Almost the same
Heavier 155 lbs vs 144 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Better submission offense 6.5 vs 6.4 Almost the same
Advantages for Harris Sarmiento
From what we can tell, Gilbert Melendez dominates Harris Sarmiento in every way.
Melendez on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Sarmiento’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Gilbert
Melendez
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Melendez Sarmiento
Significant Strikes101
Melendez's excellent striking offense will dominate Sarmiento's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns5
Melendez's good takedown offense may be a factor against Sarmiento's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Melendez has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Melendez is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Melendez has a very good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Sarmiento on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Melendez’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Harris
Sarmiento
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Sarmiento Melendez
Significant Strikes43
Sarmiento's average striking offense won't be a factor against Melendez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Sarmiento's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Melendez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Sarmiento is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Sarmiento is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Sarmiento is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Melendez 9.3
fighter Sarmiento 8.1
Great striking by Melendez
96 strikes Oct 19, 2013 vs Sanchez
33 strikes Apr 09, 2011 vs Kawajiri
69 strikes Apr 17, 2010 vs Aoki

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Melendez 8.9
fighter Sarmiento 8.4
Great takedowns by Melendez
1 takedown Oct 19, 2013 vs Sanchez
5 takedowns May 19, 2012 vs Thomson
2 takedowns Apr 09, 2011 vs Kawajiri

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Melendez 8.3
fighter Sarmiento 6.3
Great knockouts by Melendez
Round 1 Apr 09, 2011 vs Kawajiri
Round 3 Aug 15, 2009 vs Ishida
Round 2 Oct 10, 2003 vs Palling

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Melendez 6.5
fighter Sarmiento 6.4
Great submissions by Melendez
Round 2 Mar 10, 2006 vs Sarmiento

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Melendez 8.3
fighter Sarmiento 6.8
Fast finishes by Melendez
194 seconds Apr 09, 2011 vs Kawajiri
836 seconds Aug 15, 2009 vs Ishida
92 seconds Aug 20, 2005 vs Sato
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R2 SUBX
R2 KOX
1,9341,655
1,9511,639
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Melendez
legend Sarmiento
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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