UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Southworth vs Belfort

1,786

CageRank

WINNER
Belfort

prediction

BY KO ROUND 1

prediction
92% chance Belfort
WILL WIN

2,220

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Vitor Belfort
Fast finishes 10.0 vs 7.8 Around 30% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much heavier hands 10.0 vs 7.6 More than 30% better at knocking out good defenders
Better striker 9.2 vs 7.9 More than 15% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much stronger jaw 9.4 vs 7.7 Around 25% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Much harder to hit 9.8 vs 8.9 More than 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 8.0 Around 20% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly better takedown defense 9.2 vs 8.4 More than 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Younger 40 years vs 48 years More than 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better submission defense 8.8 vs 8.4 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Advantages for Bobby Southworth
Much stronger takedown offense 9.2 vs 7.5 More than 20% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly heavier 228 lbs vs 184 lbs Around 25% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Better submission offense 7.2 vs 6.9 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Taller 185 cm vs 183 cm Almost the same
Belfort on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Southworth’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Vitor
Belfort
In 2:25, how much damage will he do? Belfort Southworth
Significant Strikes13
Belfort's excellent striking offense will dominate Southworth's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 22 Significant Strikes in 2:25
Excellent
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Belfort's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Southworth's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 1 Takedowns in 2:25
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Belfort has a very good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Belfort is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Belfort is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Southworth on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Belfort’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Bobby
Southworth
In 2:25, how much damage will he do? Southworth Belfort
Significant Strikes3
Southworth's below average striking offense won't be a factor against Belfort's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 22 Significant Strikes in 2:25
Below average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Southworth's excellent takedown offense is matched by Belfort's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 1 Takedowns in 2:25
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Southworth is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Southworth is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Southworth is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Belfort 9.2
fighter Southworth 7.9
Great striking by Belfort
12 strikes Nov 09, 2013 vs Henderson
18 strikes Jan 19, 2013 vs Bisping
6 strikes Jan 24, 2009 vs Lindland

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Belfort 7.6
fighter Southworth 9.2
Great takedowns by Southworth
10 takedowns Jun 27, 2008 vs Ruiz
1 takedown Sep 29, 2007 vs Mahood

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Belfort 10.0
fighter Southworth 7.6
Great knockouts by Belfort
Round 1 Nov 09, 2013 vs Henderson
Round 2 Jan 19, 2013 vs Bisping
Round 1 Sep 19, 2009 vs Franklin

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Belfort 6.9
fighter Southworth 7.2
Great submissions by Southworth
Round 1 Sep 29, 2007 vs Mahood
Round 1 Jul 19, 2003 vs Vanderwalle
Round 1 Jan 18, 2001 vs Sequet

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Belfort 10.0
fighter Southworth 7.8
Fast finishes by Belfort
77 seconds Nov 09, 2013 vs Henderson
387 seconds Jan 19, 2013 vs Bisping
182 seconds Sep 19, 2009 vs Franklin
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
March 25, 2001Pride 13
team
VS
team
XR1 SUB
XR2 KO
1,5811,764
1,5551,790
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Belfort
legend Southworth
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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