UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Sakuraba vs Belfort

1,676

CageRank

WINNER
Belfort

prediction

BY KO ROUND 1

prediction
96% chance Belfort
WILL WIN

2,220

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Vitor Belfort
Much heavier hands 10.0 vs 6.2 More than 60% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 10.0 vs 7.6 More than 30% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better striker 9.2 vs 7.4 Around 25% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much harder to hit 9.8 vs 8.4 More than 15% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much stronger jaw 9.4 vs 8.2 More than 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 8.4 Around 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Younger 39 years vs 47 years More than 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Heavier 184 lbs vs 166 lbs More than 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Better takedown defense 9.2 vs 9.1 Almost the same
Advantages for Kazushi Sakuraba
Much better submission offense 8.1 vs 6.9 More than 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Stronger takedown offense 7.8 vs 7.5 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Belfort on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Sakuraba’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Vitor
Belfort
In 3:38, how much damage will he do? Belfort Sakuraba
Significant Strikes23
Belfort's excellent striking offense will dominate Sakuraba's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 33 Significant Strikes in 3:38
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Belfort's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Sakuraba's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 2 Takedowns in 3:38
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Belfort has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Belfort is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Belfort is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Sakuraba on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Belfort’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Kazushi
Sakuraba
In 3:38, how much damage will he do? Sakuraba Belfort
Significant Strikes3
Sakuraba's poor striking offense won't be a factor against Belfort's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 33 Significant Strikes in 3:38
Poor
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Sakuraba's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Belfort's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 2 Takedowns in 3:38
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Sakuraba is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Sakuraba has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Sakuraba is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Belfort 9.2
fighter Sakuraba 7.4
Great striking by Belfort
12 strikes Nov 09, 2013 vs Henderson
18 strikes Jan 19, 2013 vs Bisping
6 strikes Jan 24, 2009 vs Lindland

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Belfort 7.6
fighter Sakuraba 7.8
Great takedowns by Sakuraba
2 takedowns Jul 29, 2001 vs Jackson
5 takedowns Aug 27, 2000 vs Gracie
2 takedowns Jan 30, 2000 vs Mezger

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Belfort 10.0
fighter Sakuraba 6.2
Great knockouts by Belfort
Round 1 Nov 09, 2013 vs Henderson
Round 2 Jan 19, 2013 vs Bisping
Round 1 Sep 19, 2009 vs Franklin

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Belfort 6.9
fighter Sakuraba 8.1
Great submissions by Sakuraba
Round 1 Aug 05, 2006 vs Smirnovas
Round 1 Dec 31, 2005 vs Minowa
Round 3 Nov 09, 2003 vs Randleman

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Belfort 10.0
fighter Sakuraba 7.6
Fast finishes by Belfort
77 seconds Nov 09, 2013 vs Henderson
387 seconds Jan 19, 2013 vs Bisping
182 seconds Sep 19, 2009 vs Franklin
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
April 29, 1999Pride 5
team
VS
team
R2 DECX
XR2 KO
1,6281,725
1,6911,661
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Belfort
legend Sakuraba
Read More
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Belfort vs Emelianenko
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Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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