UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Sakuraba vs Randleman

1,676

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Sakuraba

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
57% chance Sakuraba
WILL WIN

1,628

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Kazushi Sakuraba
Much better submission offense 8.1 vs 6.3 Around 30% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much better submission defense 8.9 vs 7.4 Around 20% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Significantly fast finishes 7.6 vs 7.0 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Taller 183 cm vs 178 cm Around 5% taller
Advantages for Kevin Randleman
Much harder to hit 9.6 vs 8.4 Around 15% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much stronger takedown offense 8.7 vs 7.8 More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much stronger jaw 9.2 vs 8.2 More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly heavier hands 6.8 vs 6.2 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly heavier 205 lbs vs 166 lbs Around 25% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Better takedown defense 9.4 vs 9.1 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Better striker 7.6 vs 7.4 Almost the same
Slightly younger 46 years vs 48 years Around 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Sakuraba on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Randleman’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Kazushi
Sakuraba
In 12:28, how much damage will he do? Sakuraba Randleman
Significant Strikes13
Sakuraba's poor striking offense won't be a factor against Randleman's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 112 Significant Strikes in 12:28
Poor
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Sakuraba's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Randleman's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:28
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Sakuraba is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Sakuraba has a very good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Sakuraba is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Randleman on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Sakuraba’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Kevin
Randleman
In 12:28, how much damage will he do? Randleman Sakuraba
Significant Strikes35
Randleman's poor striking offense won't be a factor against Sakuraba's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 112 Significant Strikes in 12:28
Poor
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Randleman's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Sakuraba's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:28
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Randleman is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Randleman is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Randleman is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Sakuraba 7.4
fighter Randleman 7.6
Great striking by Randleman
5 strikes Apr 25, 2004 vs Filipovic
18 strikes Jan 11, 2002 vs Sobral
17 strikes Jun 09, 2000 vs Rizzo

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Sakuraba 7.8
fighter Randleman 8.7
Great takedowns by Randleman
1 takedown Jan 11, 2002 vs Sobral
2 takedowns Jun 09, 2000 vs Rizzo
6 takedowns Nov 19, 1999 vs Williams

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Sakuraba 6.2
fighter Randleman 6.8
Great knockouts by Randleman
Round 1 Apr 25, 2004 vs Filipovic
Round 3 Dec 23, 2002 vs Rua
Round 1 Jul 13, 2002 vs Foster

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Sakuraba 8.1
fighter Randleman 6.3
Great submissions by Sakuraba
Round 1 Aug 05, 2006 vs Smirnovas
Round 1 Dec 31, 2005 vs Minowa
Round 3 Nov 09, 2003 vs Randleman

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Sakuraba 7.6
fighter Randleman 7.0
Fast finishes by Sakuraba
401 seconds Aug 05, 2006 vs Smirnovas
147 seconds Oct 23, 2005 vs Shamrock
2400 seconds May 01, 2000 vs Gracie
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R3 SUBX
XR1 KO
1,7231,823
1,7871,759
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Sakuraba
legend Randleman
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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