UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Sakuraba vs Shamrock

1,676

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Sakuraba

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
66% chance Sakuraba
WILL WIN

1,564

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Kazushi Sakuraba
Much stronger jaw 8.2 vs 6.6 Around 25% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 8.4 vs 7.3 More than 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly better submission offense 8.1 vs 7.5 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly fast finishes 7.6 vs 7.1 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Younger 47 years vs 52 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Heavier hands 6.2 vs 6.0 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Harder to hit 8.4 vs 8.3 Almost the same
Advantages for Ken Shamrock
Significantly better striker 8.0 vs 7.4 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly heavier 211 lbs vs 166 lbs More than 25% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Better submission defense 9.4 vs 8.9 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Stronger takedown offense 8.0 vs 7.8 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better takedown defense 9.2 vs 9.1 Almost the same
Slightly taller 185 cm vs 183 cm Almost the same
Sakuraba on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Shamrock’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Kazushi
Sakuraba
In 8:40, how much damage will he do? Sakuraba Shamrock
Significant Strikes24
Sakuraba's poor striking offense won't be a factor against Shamrock's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 78 Significant Strikes in 8:40
Poor
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Sakuraba's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Shamrock's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:40
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Sakuraba is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Below average
Jaw
Submission
Sakuraba has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Sakuraba is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Shamrock on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Sakuraba’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ken
Shamrock
In 8:40, how much damage will he do? Shamrock Sakuraba
Significant Strikes32
Shamrock's below average striking offense won't be a factor against Sakuraba's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 78 Significant Strikes in 8:40
Below average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Shamrock's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Sakuraba's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:40
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Shamrock is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Shamrock is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Shamrock is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Sakuraba 7.4
fighter Shamrock 8.0
Great striking by Shamrock
12 strikes Jun 19, 2004 vs Leopoldo
22 strikes Dec 07, 1996 vs Johnston
2 strikes Jul 14, 1995 vs Severn

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Sakuraba 7.8
fighter Shamrock 8.0
Great takedowns by Shamrock
1 takedown Dec 07, 1996 vs Johnston
1 takedown Feb 16, 1996 vs Leopoldo
1 takedown Nov 12, 1993 vs Smith

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Sakuraba 6.2
fighter Shamrock 6.0
Great knockouts by Sakuraba
Round 1 Oct 23, 2005 vs Shamrock
Round 6 May 01, 2000 vs Gracie
Round 1 Jan 30, 2000 vs Mezger

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Sakuraba 8.1
fighter Shamrock 7.5
Great submissions by Sakuraba
Round 1 Aug 05, 2006 vs Smirnovas
Round 1 Dec 31, 2005 vs Minowa
Round 3 Nov 09, 2003 vs Randleman

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Sakuraba 7.6
fighter Shamrock 7.1
Fast finishes by Sakuraba
401 seconds Aug 05, 2006 vs Smirnovas
147 seconds Oct 23, 2005 vs Shamrock
2400 seconds May 01, 2000 vs Gracie
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
October 23, 2005Pride 30
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
XR1 KO
1,7581,762
1,8091,711
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Sakuraba
legend Shamrock
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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