UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Sakuraba vs Gracie

1,676

CageRank

WINNER
Gracie

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
74% chance Gracie
WILL WIN

1,853

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Royce Gracie
Much harder to hit 9.7 vs 8.4 More than 15% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Better submission defense 9.4 vs 8.9 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 8.9 vs 8.4 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better takedown defense 9.3 vs 9.1 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Slightly heavier 175 lbs vs 166 lbs More than 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Advantages for Kazushi Sakuraba
Heavier hands 6.2 vs 5.9 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Younger 47 years vs 50 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Stronger jaw 8.2 vs 8.0 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better striker 7.4 vs 7.3 Almost the same
Stronger takedown offense 7.8 vs 7.6 Almost the same
Gracie on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Sakuraba’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Royce
Gracie
In 12:39, how much damage will he do? Gracie Sakuraba
Significant Strikes29
Gracie's poor striking offense won't be a factor against Sakuraba's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 114 Significant Strikes in 12:39
Poor
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Gracie's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Sakuraba's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:39
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Gracie is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Gracie has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Gracie is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Sakuraba on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Gracie’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Kazushi
Sakuraba
In 12:39, how much damage will he do? Sakuraba Gracie
Significant Strikes11
Sakuraba's poor striking offense won't be a factor against Gracie's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 114 Significant Strikes in 12:39
Poor
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Sakuraba's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Gracie's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:39
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Sakuraba is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Sakuraba has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Sakuraba is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Gracie 7.3
fighter Sakuraba 7.4
Great striking by Sakuraba
38 strikes Aug 05, 2006 vs Smirnovas
8 strikes Nov 09, 2003 vs Randleman
20 strikes Aug 27, 2000 vs Gracie

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Gracie 7.6
fighter Sakuraba 7.8
Great takedowns by Sakuraba
2 takedowns Jul 29, 2001 vs Jackson
5 takedowns Aug 27, 2000 vs Gracie
2 takedowns Jan 30, 2000 vs Mezger

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Gracie 5.9
fighter Sakuraba 6.2
Great knockouts by Sakuraba
Round 1 Oct 23, 2005 vs Shamrock
Round 6 May 01, 2000 vs Gracie
Round 1 Jan 30, 2000 vs Mezger

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Gracie 8.0
fighter Sakuraba 8.1
Great submissions by Sakuraba
Round 1 Aug 05, 2006 vs Smirnovas
Round 1 Dec 31, 2005 vs Minowa
Round 3 Nov 09, 2003 vs Randleman

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Gracie 7.6
fighter Sakuraba 7.6
Fast finishes by Sakuraba
401 seconds Aug 05, 2006 vs Smirnovas
147 seconds Oct 23, 2005 vs Shamrock
2400 seconds May 01, 2000 vs Gracie
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
XR3 DEC
R1 SUBX
1,9131,788
1,8461,855
team
VS
team
R6 KOX
R1 SUBX
1,8681,860
1,9171,811
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Gracie
legend Sakuraba
Read More
Sakuraba vs Emelianenko
Fantasy Cage Match
Gracie vs Emelianenko
Fantasy Cage Match
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
comments powered by Disqus