UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Emelianenko vs Werdum

1,867

CageRank

WINNER
Werdum

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
87% chance Werdum
WILL WIN

2,192

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Fabricio Werdum
Much better submission offense 8.5 vs 6.9 Around 25% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much better takedown defense 9.5 vs 8.5 More than 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Puts up a fight 10.0 vs 8.5 More than 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.6 vs 7.7 More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly stronger jaw 9.5 vs 8.3 Around 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly better submission defense 9.4 vs 8.5 More than 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Better striker 9.1 vs 8.7 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Harder to hit 9.2 vs 9.0 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Fast finishes 9.0 vs 8.6 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Advantages for Aleksander Emelianenko
Significantly heavier hands 8.8 vs 7.9 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Heavier 253 lbs vs 242 lbs Around 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Younger 35 years vs 39 years More than 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Werdum on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Emelianenko’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Fabricio
Werdum
In 8:04, how much damage will he do? Werdum Emelianenko
Significant Strikes40
Werdum's excellent striking offense will dominate Emelianenko's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 73 Significant Strikes in 8:04
Excellent
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Werdum's average takedown offense is matched by Emelianenko's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 8:04
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Werdum has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Werdum has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Werdum is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Emelianenko on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Werdum’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Aleksander
Emelianenko
In 8:04, how much damage will he do? Emelianenko Werdum
Significant Strikes28
Emelianenko's good striking offense won't be a factor against Werdum's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 73 Significant Strikes in 8:04
Good
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Emelianenko's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Werdum's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 8:04
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Emelianenko has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Emelianenko is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Emelianenko is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Werdum 9.1
fighter Emelianenko 8.7
Great striking by Werdum
32 strikes Jun 08, 2013 vs Nogueira
31 strikes Jun 23, 2012 vs Russow
1 strike Jun 26, 2010 vs Emelianenko

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Werdum 8.6
fighter Emelianenko 7.7
Great takedowns by Werdum
1 takedown Jun 08, 2013 vs Nogueira
3 takedowns Nov 07, 2009 vs Silva
1 takedown May 05, 2006 vs Overeem

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Werdum 7.9
fighter Emelianenko 8.8
Great knockouts by Emelianenko
Round 1 Mar 29, 2009 vs Magomedov
Round 1 Apr 14, 2007 vs Pele
Round 1 Sep 10, 2006 vs Kharitonov

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Werdum 8.5
fighter Emelianenko 6.9
Great submissions by Werdum
Round 2 Jun 08, 2013 vs Nogueira
Round 1 Jun 26, 2010 vs Emelianenko
Round 2 May 05, 2006 vs Overeem

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Werdum 9.0
fighter Emelianenko 8.6
Fast finishes by Werdum
461 seconds Jun 08, 2013 vs Nogueira
148 seconds Jun 23, 2012 vs Russow
69 seconds Jun 26, 2010 vs Emelianenko
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
November 12, 20062H2H - Pride & Honor
team
VS
team
XR1 SUB
DECX
1,9031,885
1,8501,938
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Werdum
legend Emelianenko
Read More
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Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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