UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Sugie vs Ishida

1,684

CageRank

WINNER
Ishida

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
70% chance Ishida
WILL WIN

1,833

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Mitsuhiro Ishida
Much better takedown defense 9.2 vs 8.3 More than 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Much stronger takedown offense 9.5 vs 8.7 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly harder to hit 9.3 vs 8.8 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly better submission defense 8.9 vs 8.1 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Significantly heavier hands 6.7 vs 6.2 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Advantages for Daisuke Sugie
Much better submission offense 7.5 vs 6.7 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Stronger jaw 8.4 vs 7.9 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Fast finishes 7.5 vs 7.3 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Puts up a fight 8.5 vs 8.3 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Heavier 153 lbs vs 142 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Slightly taller 170 cm vs 168 cm Almost the same
Slightly younger 36 years vs 38 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Ishida on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Sugie’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Mitsuhiro
Ishida
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Ishida Sugie
Significant Strikes50
Ishida's average striking offense is matched by Sugie's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns5
Ishida's excellent takedown offense will dominate Sugie's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Ishida is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Ishida is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Ishida has a very good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Sugie on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Ishida’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Daisuke
Sugie
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Sugie Ishida
Significant Strikes36
Sugie's average striking offense won't be a factor against Ishida's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Sugie's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Ishida's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Sugie is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Sugie is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Sugie is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Ishida 8.2
fighter Sugie 8.1
Great striking by Ishida
16 strikes Mar 08, 2009 vs Nakamura
8 strikes Dec 31, 2007 vs Melendez
29 strikes Jun 04, 2006 vs Aurelio

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Ishida 9.5
fighter Sugie 8.7
Great takedowns by Ishida
5 takedowns Mar 08, 2009 vs Nakamura
7 takedowns Dec 31, 2007 vs Melendez
4 takedowns Jun 04, 2006 vs Aurelio

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Ishida 6.7
fighter Sugie 6.2
Great knockouts by Ishida
Round 3 Aug 20, 2005 vs Nakakura
Round 1 Mar 12, 2005 vs Sato
Round 2 Nov 26, 2001 vs Kojima

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Ishida 6.7
fighter Sugie 7.5
Great submissions by Sugie
Round 2 Mar 28, 2010 vs Tamura
Round 1 Jul 03, 2005 vs Gill
Round 1 Sep 21, 2003 vs Kirk

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Ishida 7.3
fighter Sugie 7.5
Fast finishes by Sugie
549 seconds Mar 28, 2010 vs Tamura
102 seconds Jul 03, 2005 vs Gill
176 seconds Sep 21, 2003 vs Kirk
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
XR3 DEC
XDEC
1,6191,694
1,5791,734
team
VS
team
R2 DECX
DECX
1,5401,500
1,5851,456
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Ishida
legend Sugie
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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