UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Valavicius vs Emelianenko

1,834

CageRank

WINNER
Emelianenko

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
89% chance Emelianenko
WILL WIN

2,189

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Fedor Emelianenko
Much better submission offense 8.3 vs 6.5 More than 25% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 9.5 vs 8.2 More than 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much better takedown defense 9.3 vs 7.7 More than 20% better at avoiding being taken down
Better striker 9.0 vs 8.1 More than 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much harder to hit 9.6 vs 8.8 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly heavier hands 8.5 vs 8.0 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Puts up a fight 9.3 vs 8.7 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better submission defense 9.3 vs 8.8 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Stronger jaw 9.1 vs 8.6 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Heavier 222 lbs vs 205 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Advantages for Egidijus Valavicius
Stronger takedown offense 8.3 vs 8.0 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Younger 38 years vs 41 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Emelianenko on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Valavicius’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Fedor
Emelianenko
In 6:32, how much damage will he do? Emelianenko Valavicius
Significant Strikes35
Emelianenko's excellent striking offense will dominate Valavicius's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 59 Significant Strikes in 6:32
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Emelianenko's average takedown offense may be a factor against Valavicius's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 6:32
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Emelianenko has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Emelianenko has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Emelianenko is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Valavicius on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Emelianenko’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Egidijus
Valavicius
In 6:32, how much damage will he do? Valavicius Emelianenko
Significant Strikes11
Valavicius's average striking offense won't be a factor against Emelianenko's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 59 Significant Strikes in 6:32
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Valavicius's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Emelianenko's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 6:32
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Valavicius is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Valavicius is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Valavicius is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Emelianenko 9.0
fighter Valavicius 8.1
Great striking by Emelianenko
50 strikes Aug 28, 2005 vs Filipovic
65 strikes Dec 31, 2004 vs Nogueira
79 strikes Mar 16, 2003 vs Nogueira

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Emelianenko 8.5
fighter Valavicius 8.0
Great knockouts by Emelianenko
Round 2 Nov 07, 2009 vs Rogers
Round 1 Jan 24, 2009 vs Arlovski
Round 1 Nov 24, 2002 vs Herring

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Emelianenko 8.3
fighter Valavicius 6.5
Great submissions by Emelianenko
Round 1 Jul 19, 2008 vs Sylvia
Round 1 Apr 14, 2007 vs Lindland
Round 2 Oct 21, 2006 vs Coleman

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Emelianenko 9.5
fighter Valavicius 8.2
Fast finishes by Emelianenko
194 seconds Jan 24, 2009 vs Arlovski
36 seconds Jul 19, 2008 vs Sylvia
178 seconds Apr 14, 2007 vs Lindland
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
XR2 SUB
XDEC
1,6122,056
1,6042,063
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Emelianenko
legend Valavicius
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
comments powered by Disqus