UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Shoji vs Vovchanchyn

1,549

CageRank

WINNER
Vovchanchyn

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
84% chance Vovchanchyn
WILL WIN

1,838

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Igor Vovchanchyn
Much heavier hands 7.9 vs 6.1 Around 30% better at knocking out good defenders
Much stronger jaw 9.5 vs 7.2 More than 30% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Much harder to hit 9.6 vs 8.4 More than 15% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Fast finishes 7.9 vs 6.7 Around 20% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much better submission offense 7.5 vs 6.4 More than 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better striker 8.2 vs 7.4 More than 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Puts up a fight 8.7 vs 7.7 Around 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Heavier 205 lbs vs 184 lbs More than 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Advantages for Akira Shoji
Much better takedown defense 9.5 vs 8.5 More than 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.3 vs 7.7 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Vovchanchyn on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Shoji’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Igor
Vovchanchyn
In 8:36, how much damage will he do? Vovchanchyn Shoji
Significant Strikes37
Vovchanchyn's average striking offense is matched by Shoji's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 77 Significant Strikes in 8:36
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Vovchanchyn's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Shoji's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:36
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Vovchanchyn has a chance to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Vovchanchyn is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Vovchanchyn is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Shoji on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Vovchanchyn’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Akira
Shoji
In 8:36, how much damage will he do? Shoji Vovchanchyn
Significant Strikes7
Shoji's poor striking offense won't be a factor against Vovchanchyn's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 77 Significant Strikes in 8:36
Poor
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Shoji's average takedown offense is matched by Vovchanchyn's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:36
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Shoji is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Shoji is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Shoji is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Vovchanchyn 8.2
fighter Shoji 7.4
Great striking by Vovchanchyn
58 strikes Apr 23, 2005 vs Kondo
5 strikes May 27, 2001 vs Yvel
17 strikes May 01, 2000 vs Sakuraba

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Vovchanchyn 7.7
fighter Shoji 8.4
Great takedowns by Shoji
2 takedowns Jan 30, 2000 vs Fontes Braga
4 takedowns Sep 12, 1999 vs Parker
3 takedowns Jul 04, 1999 vs Mezger

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Vovchanchyn 7.9
fighter Shoji 6.1
Great knockouts by Vovchanchyn
Round 1 Feb 20, 2005 vs Takahashi
Round 1 May 01, 2000 vs Sakuraba
Round 1 Feb 03, 1998 vs Nutter

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Vovchanchyn 7.5
fighter Shoji 6.4
Great submissions by Vovchanchyn
Round 0 Dec 04, 2004 vs Terezimov
Round 1 Dec 23, 2001 vs Overeem
Round 1 May 27, 2001 vs Yvel

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Vovchanchyn 7.9
fighter Shoji 6.7
Fast finishes by Vovchanchyn
70 seconds Feb 20, 2005 vs Takahashi
112 seconds May 27, 2001 vs Yvel
900 seconds May 01, 2000 vs Sakuraba
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
April 29, 1999Pride 5
team
VS
team
XR2 DEC
XR2 KO
1,6312,026
1,6222,035
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Vovchanchyn
legend Shoji
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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