UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Shoji vs Fontes Braga

1,549

CageRank

WINNER
Fontes Braga

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
66% chance Fontes Braga
WILL WIN

1,664

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Ebenezer Fontes Braga
Better striker 8.3 vs 7.4 Around 15% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Fast finishes 7.5 vs 6.7 Around 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much better submission offense 7.2 vs 6.4 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much harder to hit 9.0 vs 8.4 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Puts up a fight 8.7 vs 7.7 Around 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly stronger jaw 7.9 vs 7.2 More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
A lot taller 183 cm vs 173 cm More than 5% taller
Heavier 198 lbs vs 184 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Advantages for Akira Shoji
Much better takedown defense 9.5 vs 8.2 More than 15% better at avoiding being taken down
Stronger takedown offense 8.3 vs 7.9 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Younger 43 years vs 48 years More than 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Fontes Braga on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Shoji’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ebenezer
Fontes Braga
In 10:19, how much damage will he do? Fontes Braga Shoji
Significant Strikes48
Fontes Braga's average striking offense is matched by Shoji's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 93 Significant Strikes in 10:19
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Fontes Braga's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Shoji's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:19
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Fontes Braga is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Fontes Braga is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Fontes Braga is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Shoji on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Fontes Braga’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Akira
Shoji
In 10:19, how much damage will he do? Shoji Fontes Braga
Significant Strikes16
Shoji's poor striking offense won't be a factor against Fontes Braga's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 93 Significant Strikes in 10:19
Poor
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Shoji's average takedown offense is matched by Fontes Braga's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:19
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Shoji is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Shoji is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Shoji is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Fontes Braga 8.3
fighter Shoji 7.4
Great striking by Fontes Braga
49 strikes Jul 29, 2001 vs Matsui
9 strikes Oct 16, 1998 vs Horn

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Fontes Braga 7.9
fighter Shoji 8.4
Great takedowns by Shoji
2 takedowns Jan 30, 2000 vs Fontes Braga
4 takedowns Sep 12, 1999 vs Parker
3 takedowns Jul 04, 1999 vs Mezger

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Fontes Braga 6.1
fighter Shoji 6.1
Great knockouts by Fontes Braga
Round 1 May 31, 1996 vs Cerchiari
Round 1 Apr 05, 1996 vs Kawamura

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Fontes Braga 7.2
fighter Shoji 6.4
Great submissions by Fontes Braga
Round 1 Sep 13, 2003 vs Gripp de Sousa
Round 1 Oct 16, 1998 vs Horn
Round 1 Aug 23, 1998 vs Lee Hinkle

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Fontes Braga 7.5
fighter Shoji 6.7
Fast finishes by Fontes Braga
33 seconds Sep 13, 2003 vs Gripp de Sousa
207 seconds Oct 16, 1998 vs Horn
63 seconds Oct 08, 1995 vs Drago
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R1 DECX
DECX
1,7351,682
1,7781,640
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Fontes Braga
legend Shoji
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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