UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Gracie vs Gomi

1,741

CageRank

WINNER
Gomi

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
83% chance Gomi
WILL WIN

2,012

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Takanori Gomi
Much stronger jaw 9.6 vs 7.6 More than 25% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Much heavier hands 8.4 vs 6.6 Around 30% better at knocking out good defenders
Better striker 8.9 vs 8.0 More than 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Puts up a fight 9.1 vs 7.7 Around 20% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly better takedown defense 8.7 vs 8.2 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Younger 39 years vs 46 years More than 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Fast finishes 8.2 vs 7.9 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Harder to hit 8.5 vs 8.3 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Slightly better submission defense 8.3 vs 8.1 Almost the same
Advantages for Ralph Gracie
Much better submission offense 8.2 vs 7.0 More than 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.1 vs 7.2 More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Taller 175 cm vs 173 cm Almost the same
Gomi on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Gracie’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Takanori
Gomi
In 7:27, how much damage will he do? Gomi Gracie
Significant Strikes46
Gomi's good striking offense may be a factor against Gracie's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 67 Significant Strikes in 7:27
Good
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Gomi's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Gracie's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 7:27
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Gomi has a very good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Gomi is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Gomi has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Gracie on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Gomi’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ralph
Gracie
In 7:27, how much damage will he do? Gracie Gomi
Significant Strikes28
Gracie's average striking offense is matched by Gomi's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 67 Significant Strikes in 7:27
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Gracie's average takedown offense is matched by Gomi's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 7:27
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Gracie is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Gracie has a good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Gracie is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Gomi 8.9
fighter Gracie 8.0
Great striking by Gomi
5 strikes Aug 01, 2010 vs Griffin
14 strikes Dec 31, 2006 vs Ishida
35 strikes Sep 25, 2005 vs Kawajiri

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Gomi 8.4
fighter Gracie 6.6
Great knockouts by Gomi
Round 2 Feb 26, 2012 vs Mitsuoka
Round 1 Aug 01, 2010 vs Griffin
Round 1 Dec 31, 2006 vs Ishida

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Gomi 7.0
fighter Gracie 8.2
Great submissions by Gracie
Round 1 Sep 01, 1998 vs Nelson
Round 1 Apr 26, 1996 vs Nelson
Round 1 Jan 01, 1992 vs Silva

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Gomi 8.2
fighter Gracie 7.9
Fast finishes by Gomi
64 seconds Aug 01, 2010 vs Griffin
74 seconds Dec 31, 2006 vs Ishida
462 seconds Sep 25, 2005 vs Kawajiri
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
May 23, 2004Pride - Bushido 3
team
VS
team
XR1 KO
XDEC
1,7791,865
1,7411,903
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Gomi
legend Gracie
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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