UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Takase vs Lombard

1,741

CageRank

WINNER
Lombard

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
94% chance Lombard
WILL WIN

2,230

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Hector Lombard
Much heavier hands 9.3 vs 6.3 More than 45% better at knocking out good defenders
Better striker 8.9 vs 7.4 More than 20% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Fast finishes 9.4 vs 7.2 More than 30% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much stronger jaw 9.6 vs 8.2 More than 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 10.0 vs 8.7 More than 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.3 vs 7.8 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better submission defense 9.7 vs 9.1 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Better takedown defense 8.6 vs 8.4 Almost the same
Heavier 184 lbs vs 183 lbs Almost the same
Better submission offense 7.4 vs 7.2 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Advantages for Daiju Takase
A lot taller 183 cm vs 175 cm Around 5% taller
Lombard on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Takase’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Hector
Lombard
In 6:44, how much damage will he do? Lombard Takase
Significant Strikes37
Lombard's good striking offense may be a factor against Takase's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 61 Significant Strikes in 6:44
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Lombard's average takedown offense is matched by Takase's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 6:44
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Lombard has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Lombard is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Lombard is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Takase on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Lombard’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Daiju
Takase
In 6:44, how much damage will he do? Takase Lombard
Significant Strikes15
Takase's poor striking offense won't be a factor against Lombard's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 61 Significant Strikes in 6:44
Poor
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Takase's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Lombard's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 6:44
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Takase is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Takase is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Takase is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Lombard 8.9
fighter Takase 7.4
Great striking by Lombard
10 strikes Oct 19, 2013 vs Marquardt
24 strikes Dec 15, 2012 vs Palhares

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Lombard 9.3
fighter Takase 6.3
Great knockouts by Lombard
Round 1 Oct 19, 2013 vs Marquardt
Round 1 Dec 15, 2012 vs Palhares
Round 3 May 14, 2011 vs Vitale

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Lombard 7.4
fighter Takase 7.2
Great submissions by Lombard
Round 2 Sep 03, 2011 vs Taylor
Round 1 Nov 20, 2009 vs Starnes
Round 4 Sep 12, 2008 vs Ebersole

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Lombard 9.4
fighter Takase 7.2
Fast finishes by Lombard
108 seconds Oct 19, 2013 vs Marquardt
218 seconds Dec 15, 2012 vs Palhares
386 seconds Sep 03, 2011 vs Taylor
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
March 18, 2006X - plosion 13
team
VS
team
XR1 KO
DECX
1,6561,627
1,6021,681
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Lombard
legend Takase
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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