UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Mousasi vs Bisping

2,154

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Mousasi

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
64% chance Mousasi
WILL WIN

2,057

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Gegard Mousasi
Much harder to hit 9.9 vs 9.0 More than 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much better submission offense 8.4 vs 6.7 Around 25% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly stronger jaw 9.8 vs 9.0 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Fast finishes 8.8 vs 8.3 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Younger 31 years vs 37 years More than 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Stronger takedown offense 8.6 vs 8.3 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Heavier 186 lbs vs 184 lbs Almost the same
Longer reach 196 cm vs 192 cm Almost the same
Puts up a fight 9.9 vs 9.6 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Advantages for Michael Bisping
Significantly better striker 9.5 vs 9.0 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Heavier hands 8.5 vs 7.8 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Better takedown defense 9.0 vs 8.6 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Taller 188 cm vs 185 cm Almost the same
Longer winning streak 5 fights vs 4 fights 25% longer winning streak; has momentum coming into a fight
Mousasi on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Bisping’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Gegard
Mousasi
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Mousasi Bisping
Significant Strikes70
Mousasi's excellent striking offense will dominate Bisping's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Mousasi's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Bisping's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Mousasi is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Mousasi has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Mousasi has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Bisping on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Mousasi’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Michael
Bisping
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Bisping Mousasi
Significant Strikes58
Bisping's excellent striking offense is matched by Mousasi's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Bisping's average takedown offense is matched by Mousasi's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Bisping has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Bisping is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Bisping is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Mousasi 9.0
fighter Bisping 9.5
Great striking by Bisping
93 strikes Apr 27, 2013 vs Belcher
102 strikes Dec 03, 2011 vs Miller
50 strikes Feb 27, 2011 vs Rivera

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Mousasi 8.6
fighter Bisping 8.3
Great takedowns by Mousasi
4 takedowns Dec 17, 2011 vs St. Preux
1 takedown Aug 15, 2009 vs Sobral
1 takedown Sep 23, 2008 vs Manhoef

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Mousasi 7.8
fighter Bisping 8.5
Great knockouts by Bisping
Round 3 Dec 03, 2011 vs Miller
Round 2 Feb 27, 2011 vs Rivera
Round 2 Nov 14, 2009 vs Kang

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Mousasi 8.4
fighter Bisping 6.8
Great submissions by Mousasi
Round 1 Jan 12, 2013 vs Kyle
Round 1 Sep 23, 2008 vs Manhoef
Round 1 Apr 29, 2008 vs Kang

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Mousasi 8.8
fighter Bisping 8.3
Fast finishes by Mousasi
60 seconds Aug 15, 2009 vs Sobral
88 seconds Sep 23, 2008 vs Manhoef
190 seconds Apr 29, 2008 vs Kang
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Mousasi
legend Bisping
Read More
Mousasi vs Weidman
Fantasy Cage Match
Bisping vs Romero
Fantasy Cage Match
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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