UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Mousasi vs Belfort

2,154

CageRank

WINNER
Belfort

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
59% chance Belfort
WILL WIN

2,220

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Vitor Belfort
Much heavier hands 10.0 vs 7.8 Around 30% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 10.0 vs 8.8 Around 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly better takedown defense 9.2 vs 8.6 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Better striker 9.2 vs 9.0 Almost the same
Advantages for Gegard Mousasi
Much better submission offense 8.4 vs 6.9 More than 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much stronger takedown offense 8.6 vs 7.5 Around 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly longer reach 196 cm vs 188 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Younger 32 years vs 40 years 20% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Heavier 186 lbs vs 184 lbs Almost the same
Better submission defense 9.3 vs 8.8 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Stronger jaw 9.8 vs 9.4 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Taller 185 cm vs 183 cm Almost the same
Puts up a fight 9.9 vs 9.6 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Harder to hit 9.9 vs 9.8 Almost the same
Belfort on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Mousasi’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Vitor
Belfort
In 9:52, how much damage will he do? Belfort Mousasi
Significant Strikes31
Belfort's excellent striking offense is matched by Mousasi's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 89 Significant Strikes in 9:52
Excellent
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Belfort's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Mousasi's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:52
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Belfort has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Belfort is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Belfort is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Mousasi on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Belfort’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Gegard
Mousasi
In 9:52, how much damage will he do? Mousasi Belfort
Significant Strikes29
Mousasi's excellent striking offense is matched by Belfort's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 89 Significant Strikes in 9:52
Excellent
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Mousasi's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Belfort's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:52
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Mousasi is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Mousasi has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Mousasi is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Belfort 9.2
fighter Mousasi 9.0
Great striking by Belfort
12 strikes Nov 09, 2013 vs Henderson
18 strikes Jan 19, 2013 vs Bisping
6 strikes Jan 24, 2009 vs Lindland

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Belfort 7.6
fighter Mousasi 8.6
Great takedowns by Mousasi
4 takedowns Dec 17, 2011 vs St. Preux
1 takedown Aug 15, 2009 vs Sobral
1 takedown Sep 23, 2008 vs Manhoef

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Belfort 10.0
fighter Mousasi 7.8
Great knockouts by Belfort
Round 1 Nov 09, 2013 vs Henderson
Round 2 Jan 19, 2013 vs Bisping
Round 1 Sep 19, 2009 vs Franklin

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Belfort 6.9
fighter Mousasi 8.4
Great submissions by Mousasi
Round 1 Jan 12, 2013 vs Kyle
Round 1 Sep 23, 2008 vs Manhoef
Round 1 Apr 29, 2008 vs Kang

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Belfort 10.0
fighter Mousasi 8.8
Fast finishes by Belfort
77 seconds Nov 09, 2013 vs Henderson
387 seconds Jan 19, 2013 vs Bisping
182 seconds Sep 19, 2009 vs Franklin
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
October 8, 2016UFC 204
team
VS
team
R2 KOX
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Belfort
legend Mousasi
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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