UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Mousasi vs St. Pierre

2,154

CageRank

WINNER
St. Pierre

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
85% chance St. Pierre
WILL WIN

2,455

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Georges St. Pierre
Much longer winning streak 12 fights vs 5 fights Around 2.5x longer winning streak; has momentum coming into a fight
Much stronger takedown offense 10.0 vs 8.6 More than 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much better takedown defense 10.0 vs 8.6 More than 15% better at avoiding being taken down
Better striker 9.3 vs 9.0 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Heavier hands 8.2 vs 7.8 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Better submission defense 9.5 vs 9.3 Almost the same
Advantages for Gegard Mousasi
Much better submission offense 8.4 vs 7.6 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly fast finishes 8.8 vs 8.3 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Taller 185 cm vs 178 cm Around 5% taller
Stronger jaw 9.8 vs 9.4 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Harder to hit 9.9 vs 9.7 Almost the same
Younger 31 years vs 36 years Around 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Heavier 186 lbs vs 169 lbs More than 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Puts up a fight 9.9 vs 9.7 Almost the same
Slightly longer reach 196 cm vs 193 cm Almost the same
St. Pierre on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Mousasi’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Georges
St. Pierre
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? St. Pierre Mousasi
Significant Strikes50
St. Pierre's excellent striking offense is matched by Mousasi's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns6
St. Pierre's excellent takedown offense will dominate Mousasi's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
St. Pierre has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
St. Pierre is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
St. Pierre has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Mousasi on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against St. Pierre’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Gegard
Mousasi
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Mousasi St. Pierre
Significant Strikes48
Mousasi's excellent striking offense is matched by St. Pierre's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Mousasi's average takedown offense won't be a factor against St. Pierre's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Mousasi is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Mousasi has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Mousasi is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter St. Pierre 9.3
fighter Mousasi 9.0
Great striking by St. Pierre
101 strikes Nov 16, 2013 vs Hendricks
85 strikes Apr 30, 2011 vs Shields
45 strikes Nov 18, 2006 vs Hughes

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter St. Pierre 10.0
fighter Mousasi 8.6
Great takedowns by St. Pierre
3 takedowns Nov 16, 2013 vs Hendricks
7 takedowns Nov 17, 2012 vs Condit
2 takedowns Apr 30, 2011 vs Shields

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter St. Pierre 8.2
fighter Mousasi 7.8
Great knockouts by St. Pierre
Round 4 Jan 31, 2009 vs Penn
Round 2 Nov 18, 2006 vs Hughes
Round 2 Nov 19, 2005 vs Sherk

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter St. Pierre 7.6
fighter Mousasi 8.4
Great submissions by Mousasi
Round 1 Jan 12, 2013 vs Kyle
Round 1 Sep 23, 2008 vs Manhoef
Round 1 Apr 29, 2008 vs Kang

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter St. Pierre 8.3
fighter Mousasi 8.8
Fast finishes by Mousasi
60 seconds Aug 15, 2009 vs Sobral
88 seconds Sep 23, 2008 vs Manhoef
190 seconds Apr 29, 2008 vs Kang
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend St. Pierre
legend Mousasi
Read More
Mousasi vs Rockhold
Fantasy Cage Match
St. Pierre vs McGregor
Fantasy Cage Match
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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