UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Mousasi vs St. Preux

2,154

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Mousasi

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
61% chance Mousasi
WILL WIN

2,076

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Gegard Mousasi
Much harder to hit 9.9 vs 8.6 More than 15% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.6 vs 8.0 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly better submission offense 8.4 vs 7.9 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Stronger jaw 9.8 vs 9.3 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better striker 9.0 vs 8.7 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Better submission defense 9.3 vs 8.8 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 9.9 vs 9.4 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Slightly younger 32 years vs 34 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Ovince St. Preux
Heavier hands 8.1 vs 7.8 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Heavier 205 lbs vs 186 lbs More than 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Taller 191 cm vs 185 cm Around 5% taller
Fast finishes 9.0 vs 8.8 Almost the same
Mousasi on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against St. Preux’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Gegard
Mousasi
In 12:00, how much damage will he do? Mousasi St. Preux
Significant Strikes68
Mousasi's excellent striking offense will dominate St. Preux's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 108 Significant Strikes in 12:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Mousasi's average takedown offense won't be a factor against St. Preux's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Mousasi is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Mousasi has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Mousasi is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
St. Preux on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Mousasi’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ovince
St. Preux
In 12:00, how much damage will he do? St. Preux Mousasi
Significant Strikes26
St. Preux's good striking offense won't be a factor against Mousasi's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 108 Significant Strikes in 12:00
Good
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
St. Preux's average takedown offense is matched by Mousasi's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
St. Preux has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
St. Preux is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
St. Preux is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Mousasi 9.0
fighter St. Preux 8.7
Great striking by Mousasi
23 strikes Jan 12, 2013 vs Kyle
12 strikes Aug 15, 2009 vs Sobral
6 strikes Apr 29, 2008 vs Kang

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Mousasi 8.6
fighter St. Preux 8.0
Great takedowns by Mousasi
4 takedowns Dec 17, 2011 vs St. Preux
1 takedown Aug 15, 2009 vs Sobral
1 takedown Sep 23, 2008 vs Manhoef

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Mousasi 7.8
fighter St. Preux 8.1
Great knockouts by St. Preux
Round 1 Aug 17, 2013 vs Donovan
Round 3 Aug 18, 2012 vs Cook
Round 1 Jul 24, 2010 vs Day

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Mousasi 8.4
fighter St. Preux 7.9
Great submissions by Mousasi
Round 1 Jan 12, 2013 vs Kyle
Round 1 Sep 23, 2008 vs Manhoef
Round 1 Apr 29, 2008 vs Kang

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Mousasi 8.8
fighter St. Preux 9.0
Fast finishes by St. Preux
127 seconds Aug 17, 2013 vs Donovan
72 seconds Jul 22, 2011 vs Cason
8 seconds Jul 24, 2010 vs Day
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
R2 KOX
2,1071,938
2,1341,910
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Mousasi
legend St. Preux
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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