UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Mousasi vs Leites

2,154

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Mousasi

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
55% chance Mousasi
WILL WIN

2,122

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Gegard Mousasi
Better striker 9.0 vs 7.9 Around 15% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much harder to hit 9.9 vs 9.2 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Heavier hands 7.8 vs 7.1 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Stronger jaw 9.8 vs 9.4 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Heavier 186 lbs vs 184 lbs Almost the same
Younger 31 years vs 35 years More than 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Puts up a fight 9.9 vs 9.7 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Advantages for Thales Leites
Better takedown defense 9.2 vs 8.6 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Stronger takedown offense 9.1 vs 8.6 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Longer reach 198 cm vs 196 cm Almost the same
Better submission offense 8.6 vs 8.4 Almost the same
Mousasi on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Leites’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Gegard
Mousasi
In 12:38, how much damage will he do? Mousasi Leites
Significant Strikes54
Mousasi's excellent striking offense is matched by Leites's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 114 Significant Strikes in 12:38
Excellent
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Mousasi's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Leites's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:38
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Mousasi is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Mousasi has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Mousasi is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Leites on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Mousasi’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Thales
Leites
In 12:38, how much damage will he do? Leites Mousasi
Significant Strikes14
Leites's below average striking offense won't be a factor against Mousasi's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 114 Significant Strikes in 12:38
Below average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Leites's good takedown offense may be a factor against Mousasi's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:38
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Leites is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Leites has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Leites is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Mousasi 9.0
fighter Leites 7.9
Great striking by Mousasi
23 strikes Jan 12, 2013 vs Kyle
12 strikes Aug 15, 2009 vs Sobral
6 strikes Apr 29, 2008 vs Kang

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Mousasi 8.6
fighter Leites 9.1
Great takedowns by Leites
3 takedowns Nov 16, 2013 vs Herman
5 takedowns Aug 03, 2013 vs Watson
3 takedowns Aug 25, 2007 vs Jensen

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Mousasi 7.8
fighter Leites 7.1
Great knockouts by Mousasi
Round 2 Nov 07, 2009 vs Thierry Sokoudjou
Round 1 Aug 15, 2009 vs Sobral
Round 1 Sep 23, 2008 vs Souza

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Mousasi 8.4
fighter Leites 8.6
Great submissions by Leites
Round 2 Oct 29, 2010 vs Troeng
Round 1 Aug 25, 2007 vs Jensen
Round 3 Jul 02, 2005 vs Machado

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Mousasi 8.8
fighter Leites 8.8
Fast finishes by Mousasi
60 seconds Aug 15, 2009 vs Sobral
88 seconds Sep 23, 2008 vs Manhoef
190 seconds Apr 29, 2008 vs Kang
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
February 27, 2016UFC Fight Night 84
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Mousasi
legend Leites
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
Showing 1 comment.
who t h do the rankings on this site, average takedown ability for cerrone, same with mousasi "average" do these guys have any idea WHO theyre talking about, first of, mousasi can take anyone down at will, he just sometimes center he gameplan on standing up, most of the things on thos site is bullshit BUUULLshiEEt, hahaha,
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