UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Mousasi vs Thierry Sokoudjou

2,154

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Mousasi

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
91% chance Mousasi
WILL WIN

1,754

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Gegard Mousasi
Much better submission offense 8.4 vs 6.6 More than 25% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much stronger jaw 9.8 vs 7.7 More than 25% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Fast finishes 8.8 vs 7.8 Around 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much harder to hit 9.9 vs 9.2 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Puts up a fight 9.9 vs 8.9 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Heavier hands 7.8 vs 7.5 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Taller 185 cm vs 178 cm Around 5% taller
Better striker 9.0 vs 8.8 Almost the same
Better submission defense 9.3 vs 8.9 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Slightly younger 31 years vs 33 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Rameau Thierry Sokoudjou
Significantly better takedown defense 9.2 vs 8.6 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Stronger takedown offense 8.9 vs 8.6 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Heavier 205 lbs vs 186 lbs More than 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Mousasi on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Thierry Sokoudjou’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Gegard
Mousasi
In 10:06, how much damage will he do? Mousasi Thierry Sokoudjou
Significant Strikes43
Mousasi's excellent striking offense is matched by Thierry Sokoudjou's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 91 Significant Strikes in 10:06
Excellent
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Mousasi's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Thierry Sokoudjou's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:06
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Mousasi has a chance to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Mousasi has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Mousasi is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Thierry Sokoudjou on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Mousasi’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Rameau
Thierry Sokoudjou
In 10:06, how much damage will he do? Thierry Sokoudjou Mousasi
Significant Strikes24
Thierry Sokoudjou's good striking offense won't be a factor against Mousasi's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 91 Significant Strikes in 10:06
Good
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Thierry Sokoudjou's good takedown offense may be a factor against Mousasi's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:06
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Thierry Sokoudjou is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Thierry Sokoudjou is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Thierry Sokoudjou is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Mousasi 9.0
fighter Thierry Sokoudjou 8.8
Great striking by Mousasi
23 strikes Jan 12, 2013 vs Kyle
12 strikes Aug 15, 2009 vs Sobral
6 strikes Apr 29, 2008 vs Kang

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Mousasi 8.6
fighter Thierry Sokoudjou 8.9
Great takedowns by Thierry Sokoudjou
1 takedown Oct 06, 2009 vs Sapp
1 takedown May 26, 2009 vs Nortje

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Mousasi 7.8
fighter Thierry Sokoudjou 7.5
Great knockouts by Mousasi
Round 2 Nov 07, 2009 vs Thierry Sokoudjou
Round 1 Aug 15, 2009 vs Sobral
Round 1 Sep 23, 2008 vs Souza

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Mousasi 8.4
fighter Thierry Sokoudjou 6.6
Great submissions by Mousasi
Round 1 Jan 12, 2013 vs Kyle
Round 1 Sep 23, 2008 vs Manhoef
Round 1 Apr 29, 2008 vs Kang

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Mousasi 8.8
fighter Thierry Sokoudjou 7.8
Fast finishes by Mousasi
60 seconds Aug 15, 2009 vs Sobral
88 seconds Sep 23, 2008 vs Manhoef
190 seconds Apr 29, 2008 vs Kang
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R2 KOX
R3 KOX
2,1711,789
2,1811,779
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Mousasi
legend Thierry Sokoudjou
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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